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Current Ag Economy Barometer report released: January 3, 2023

Upcoming release: February 7, 2023

About the Ag Economy Barometer

The Purdue University/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer is a nationwide measure of the health of the U.S. agricultural economy. On the first Tuesday of each month, the Ag Economy Barometer provides a sense of the agricultural economy’s health with an index value. The index is based on a survey of 400 agricultural producers on economic sentiment each month. Quarterly, the index is accompanied by an in-depth survey of 100 agriculture and agribusiness thought leaders.

As CME Group’s roots are in agriculture, and Purdue University’s Center for Commercial Agriculture has a long history of producing cutting-edge agricultural research, this partnership is designed to create a new and important tool for producers, economists, traders, finance industry professionals and journalists who are interested in understanding the agriculture industry and the broader global economy.

Find the Ag Economy Barometer on the Bloomberg Terminal: AGECBARO, AGECCURC and AGECFTEX.

Farmer Sentiment Rebounds at Year End on Stronger 2022 Income

January 3, 2023

Farmer sentiment was unchanged in November as the Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer Index came in at a reading of 102, the same as in October. This month’s survey was conducted November 14-18, 2022.

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High Input Costs and Rising Interest Rates Top Concerns As Farmer Sentiment Remains Unchanged

December 6, 2022

Farmer sentiment was unchanged in November as the Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer Index came in at a reading of 102, the same as in October. This month’s survey was conducted November 14-18, 2022.

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Ag Economy Barometer Declines Again, Producers Express Concern About Interest Rate Policy

November 1, 2022

Farmer sentiment weakened again in October as the Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer fell to a reading of 102, down 10 points compared to a month earlier. This month’s survey was conducted from October 10-14, 2022.

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Sensitivity Analysis of New Corn and Soybean Pricing Models

May 3, 2016

April 2016 U.S. Crop Price Update

May 3, 2016

U.S. Farm Incomes to Drop to Lowest Level Since 2002

May 3, 2016

Federal forecasters estimate that U.S. farm incomes will fall this year to the lowest level since 2002, reflecting a continued slump in prices for crops and livestock. Net farm income will drop 3% to $54.8 billion from $56.4 billion last year, the Agriculture Department projected Tuesday. It would mark the third consecutive year of falling agricultural incomes after profits surged to a record $123 billion in 2013—the height of a boom…

Farm Loan Volumes Holding at High Levels

May 3, 2016

Levels of non-real estate farm lending at commercial banks remained high in the fourth quarter of 2015 despite a modest decline from a year earlier. Loans used to finance current operating expenses remained at record levels, while volumes for most other types of non-real estate loans declined slightly. As farm income declined again in 2015, persistently high short-term lending needs amplified concerns about farm sector liquidity moving into 2016, especially if farmers’ profit margins remain low. Despite these concerns, agricultural banks continued to report strong loan performance and solid returns on their assets.

AgLetter, from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

May 3, 2016

A quarterly newsletter on agricultural land values and credit conditions, based on data from the Bank’s survey.

Weekly Outlook: Pork Industry – A Little Profit for 2016

May 3, 2016

The outlook for the pork industry has turned somewhat more optimistic in recent weeks. The sources of that optimism include a $2 to $4 increase in spring and summer lean hog futures prices since the first of the year and slightly lower new-crop soybean meal prices. A bit higher hog prices and a little lower cost add to the potential for a profitable year.