{"id":1009,"date":"2017-02-08T11:29:15","date_gmt":"2017-02-08T15:29:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/?p=1009"},"modified":"2017-02-08T11:29:15","modified_gmt":"2017-02-08T15:29:15","slug":"ag-barometer-producer-sentiment-skyrockets-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/ag-barometer-producer-sentiment-skyrockets-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Ag barometer: Producer sentiment skyrockets again"},"content":{"rendered":"

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. and CHICAGO \u2013 Agricultural producer sentiment hit a record high for the second consecutive month, according to the January Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The January reading of 153 marked a substantial increase over December\u2019s record-breaking 132. Not only is 153 the highest reading in barometer history, but the 21-point jump also represents the largest month-over-month sentiment change.<\/p>\n

\"Figure

Producer sentiment about the agricultural economy skyrocketed to an all-time high in January, jumping from 132 to 153, according to the latest reading of the Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer. (Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer\/David Widmar)<\/p><\/div>\n

January is the third straight month the barometer increased after sentiment fell to 92 in October 2016. The barometer is based on a monthly survey of 400 U.S. agricultural producers.<\/p>\n

While the Index of Current Conditions contributed to the jump, climbing from 102 in December to 118 in January, it was the Index of Future Expectations that had the biggest impact with a 23-point increase from 146 in December to 169 in January.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe biggest contributor to the large uptick in optimism since October has been producers\u2019 increasingly favorable expectations about the future,\u201d said James Mintert<\/a>, the barometer\u2019s principal investigator and director of Purdue\u2019s Center for Commercial Agriculture. \u201cThis was again the case in January, but it\u2019s worth noting that producer optimism was also supported by a perceived improvement in current conditions.\u201d<\/p>\n

Part of that perception was driven by improvements in prices for key commodities, including soybeans, cattle and hogs.<\/p>\n

Another possible source of producer optimism is the potential for a new regulatory environment with the new U.S. presidential administration, said David Widmar<\/a>, senior research associate and leader of research activities for the barometer.<\/p>\n

Surveyed producers were asked whether they thought regulations impacting agriculture would be more or less restrictive or about the same in five years. Forty-one percent said less, while only 29 percent said regulations would be more restrictive.<\/p>\n

\u201cGiven that regulations affecting agriculture have been increasing over time, it\u2019s noteworthy that 41 percent of the respondents expect a less restrictive regulatory environment in five years than they face today,\u201d Widmar said.<\/p>\n

Quarterly, barometer researchers also survey 100 agricultural thought leaders\u2014including lenders, retailers, consultants, academics and agribusiness professionals\u2014about their economic expectations. Results of this quarter\u2019s thought-leader survey were similar to the results of the producer survey, increasing sharply since the last thought-leader survey in October.<\/p>\n

One difference between producer and thought-leader sentiment was in expectations for new-crop corn and soybean futures prices, Widmar said.<\/p>\n

\u201cOverall, thought leaders were a bit less optimistic than producers, as fewer respondents expect new-crop corn futures to reach new contract highs,\u201d he said. \u201cA larger share of thought leaders than producers expect new futures contract lows to be set for both corn and soybeans.\u201d<\/p>\n

Read the full January Ag Economy Barometer report at http:\/\/purdue.edu\/agbarometer<\/a>. The site offers additional resources, such as past reports, charts and survey methodology, and a form to sign up for monthly barometer email updates and quarterly webinars.<\/p>\n

On Thursday (Feb. 9), Mintert, Widmar and Purdue Professor of Agricultural Economics Michael Langemeier will present a barometer update webinar at 1:30 p.m. EST\/12:30 p.m. CST. They will discuss current factors impacting the industry and drivers of agricultural producer sentiment. The webinar is free. Register here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The Ag Economy Barometer, Index of Current Conditions and Index of Future Expectations also are available on the Bloomberg Terminal under the following ticker symbols: AGECBARO, AGECCURC and AGECFTEX.\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

About the Purdue University Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/b><\/p>\n

The Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/a> was founded in 2011 to provide professional development and educational programs for farmers. Housed within Purdue University’s Department of Agricultural Economics, the center\u2019s faculty and staff develop and execute research and educational programs that address the different needs of managing in today\u2019s business environment.<\/p>\n

About CME Group<\/b><\/p>\n

As the world\u2019s leading and most diverse derivatives marketplace, CME Group (www.cmegroup.com<\/a>) is where the world comes to manage risk. CME Group exchanges offer the widest range of global benchmark products across all major asset classes, including futures and options based on interest rates<\/a>, equity indexes<\/a>, foreign exchange<\/a>, energy<\/a>, agricultural products<\/a> and metals<\/a>. Around the world, CME Group brings buyers and sellers together through its CME Globex<\/a>\u00ae electronic trading platform and its exchanges based in Chicago, New York and London. CME Group also operates one of the world\u2019s leading central counterparty clearing providers through CME Clearing<\/a> and CME Clearing Europe<\/a>, which offer clearing and settlement services across asset classes for exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives. CME Group\u2019s products and services ensure that businesses around the world can effectively manage risk and achieve growth.<\/p>\n

CME Group is a trademark of CME Group Inc. The Globe Logo, CME, Globex and Chicago Mercantile Exchange are trademarks of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. CBOT and the Chicago Board of Trade are trademarks of the Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, Inc. NYMEX, New York Mercantile Exchange and ClearPort are registered trademarks of New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. COMEX is a trademark of Commodity Exchange, Inc. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners. Further information about CME Group (NASDAQ: CME) an<\/p>\n

d its products can be found at www.cmegroup.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Writer:<\/b> Jennifer Stewart-Burton, 765-496-6032, jsstewar@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n

Sources:<\/b> Jim Mintert, 765-494-4310, jmintert@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n

David Widmar, 765-494-0848, dwidmar@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n

Chris Grams, 312-930-3435, chris.grams@cmegroup.com<\/a><\/p>\n

\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. and CHICAGO \u2013 Agricultural producer sentiment hit a record high for the second consecutive month, according to the January Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer. The January reading of 153 marked a substantial increase over December\u2019s record-breaking 132. 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