{"id":1124,"date":"2017-04-04T10:41:36","date_gmt":"2017-04-04T14:41:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/?p=1124"},"modified":"2017-04-04T10:43:24","modified_gmt":"2017-04-04T14:43:24","slug":"ag-economy-barometer-producer-sentiment-slips-march","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/ag-economy-barometer-producer-sentiment-slips-march\/","title":{"rendered":"Ag Economy Barometer: Producer sentiment slips in March"},"content":{"rendered":"

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. and CHICAGO \u2013 Producer sentiment toward the agricultural economy dropped to 124 in March marking the second consecutive month of decline, according to the Purdue University\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\"Ag<\/a>

Producer sentiment surrounding the agricultural economy slipped to 124 in March, a 10-point drop from February that was driven primarily by a major decrease in optimism about future expectations. (Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer\/David Widmar)<\/p><\/div>\n

The decrease is a 10-point drop from February\u2019s reading of 134. The barometer is based on a monthly survey of 400 agricultural producers from across the United States.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe barometer has been moderating in recent months after a large jump in sentiment that began in November 2016,\u201d said Jim Mintert<\/a>, director of Purdue\u2019s Center for Commercial Agriculture and principal investigator for the barometer. \u201cWhile sentiment has settled lower, it\u2019s important to note that it is still higher than during all but the last two months of 2016.\u201d<\/p>\n

The March 2016 reading was 85.<\/p>\n

The barometer\u2019s sub indices \u2014 the Index of Current Conditions and the Index of Future Expectations \u2014 offer insights into why producer sentiment settled at 124. The Index of Future Expectations, which measures producer sentiment 12 months out and beyond, fell to 126 in March, down from the February reading of 148. The Index of Current Conditions, however, increased from 105 in February to 120 in March.<\/p>\n

\u201cAt 120 in March, the Index of Current Conditions exceeded recent highs and is at a level that we haven\u2019t seen since late 2015,\u201d Mintert said. \u201cProducers\u2019 reduced optimism about future economic conditions in agriculture are what drove this month\u2019s barometer lower.\u201d<\/p>\n

Producers\u2019 optimism toward the overall U.S. economy continued to be strong in the March report, a trend that started in November 2016. In October, just 35 percent of respondents said they expected widespread good times in the U.S. economy over the next five years. By December, this number had jumped to 71 percent. It improved again in the March survey, increasing to 77 percent.<\/p>\n

\u201cThese results are consistent with producer responses to other questions about the U.S. economy,\u201d said David Widmar<\/a>, senior research associate for the Center for Commercial Agriculture and leader of the barometer\u2019s research activities. \u201cTwo examples are that 59 percent of producers said that they expect the U.S. economy to expand and 78 percent expect the U.S. stock market to be higher or about the same over the next 12 months.\u201d<\/p>\n

Read the full March Ag Economy Barometer report at http:\/\/purdue.edu\/agbarometer<\/a>. This month\u2019s report includes information about farm finances and livestock commodity price expectations. The website offers additional resources, such as past reports, charts and survey methodology, and a form to sign up for free monthly barometer email updates and quarterly webinars.<\/p>\n

The Ag Economy Barometer, Index of Current Conditions and Index of Future Expectations are available on the Bloomberg Terminal under the following ticker symbols: AGECBARO, AGECCURC and AGECFTEX.<\/p>\n

About the Purdue University Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/b><\/p>\n

The Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/a> was founded in 2011 to provide professional development and educational programs for farmers. Housed within Purdue University’s Department of Agricultural Economics, the center\u2019s faculty and staff develop and execute research and educational programs that address the different needs of managing in today\u2019s business environment.<\/p>\n

About CME Group<\/b><\/p>\n

As the world\u2019s leading and most diverse derivatives marketplace, CME Group (www.cmegroup.com<\/a>) is where the world comes to manage risk. Through its exchanges, CME Group offers the widest range of global benchmark products across all major asset classes, including futures and options based on interest rates<\/a>, equity indexes<\/a>, foreign exchange<\/a>, energy<\/a>, agricultural products<\/a> and metals<\/a>. CME Group provides electronic trading globally on its CME Globex<\/a> platform. The company also offers clearing and settlement services across asset classes for exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives through its clearinghouses CME Clearing<\/a> and CME Clearing Europe<\/a>. CME Group\u2019s products and services ensure that businesses around the world can effectively manage risk and achieve growth.<\/p>\n

CME Group, the Globe logo, CME, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Globex and E-mini are trademarks of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. CBOT, Chicago Board of Trade, KCBT and Kansas City Board of Trade are trademarks of Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, Inc. NYMEX, New York Mercantile Exchange and ClearPort are trademarks of New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. COMEX is a trademark of Commodity Exchange, Inc. Dow Jones, Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and S&P are service and\/or trademarks of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC, Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC and S&P\/Dow Jones Indices LLC, as the case may be, and have been licensed for use by Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.<\/p>\n

Writer:<\/b> Jennifer Stewart-Burton, 765-496-6032, jsstewar@purdue.edu<\/a>\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

Sources:<\/b> Jim Mintert, 765-494-4310, jmintert@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n

David Widmar, 765-494-0848, dwidmar@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n

Chris Grams, 312-930-3435, chris.grams@cmegroup.com<\/a><\/p>\n

Related websites:<\/b><\/p>\n

Purdue University Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/a><\/p>\n

CME Group<\/a><\/p>\n

Agricultural Communications:<\/b>\u00a0(765) 494-8415;<\/p>\n

Shari Finnell, sfinnell@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n

Agriculture News Page<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. and CHICAGO \u2013 Producer sentiment toward the agricultural economy dropped to 124 in March marking the second consecutive month of decline, according to the Purdue University\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer. The decrease is a 10-point drop from February\u2019s reading of 134. 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