{"id":12870,"date":"2022-12-06T10:25:00","date_gmt":"2022-12-06T14:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/?p=12870"},"modified":"2022-12-06T10:27:03","modified_gmt":"2022-12-06T14:27:03","slug":"media-high-input-costs-and-rising-interest-rates-top-concerns-as-farmer-sentiment-remains-unchanged","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/media-high-input-costs-and-rising-interest-rates-top-concerns-as-farmer-sentiment-remains-unchanged\/","title":{"rendered":"High input costs and rising interest rates top concerns as farmer sentiment remains unchanged"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignright size-medium\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"217\" src=\"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/AgEconomyBarometer_Nov2022-300x217.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-12871\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/AgEconomyBarometer_Nov2022-300x217.png 300w, https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/AgEconomyBarometer_Nov2022-1024x742.png 1024w, https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/AgEconomyBarometer_Nov2022-768x557.png 768w, https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/AgEconomyBarometer_Nov2022-1536x1113.png 1536w, https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/AgEconomyBarometer_Nov2022-2048x1485.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><figcaption><strong>High input costs and rising interest rates top concerns as farmer sentiment remains unchanged.&nbsp;<\/strong>(Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer\/James Mintert).<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind.&nbsp;and CHICAGO&nbsp;\u2014<a><\/a><a><\/a>&nbsp;Unlike the two most recent presidential elections, the November mid-term election&nbsp;outcomes&nbsp;did&nbsp;little to&nbsp;swing farmer sentiment.&nbsp;The&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/\">Purdue&nbsp;University\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer<\/a>&nbsp;came in at&nbsp;a reading of 102&nbsp;in November, unchanged from October. There was&nbsp;however a&nbsp;slight&nbsp;movement in both of the barometer\u2019s sub-indices. The&nbsp;<em>Current Conditions Index<\/em>&nbsp;declined 3&nbsp;points to a reading of&nbsp;98&nbsp;while the&nbsp;<em>Future Expectations Index&nbsp;<\/em>increased 2&nbsp;points to a reading of 104.&nbsp;The&nbsp;<em>Ag Economy Barometer<\/em>&nbsp;is calculated each month from 400 U.S. agricultural producers\u2019 responses to a telephone survey. This month\u2019s survey was conducted&nbsp;after the U.S. mid-term elections&nbsp;from&nbsp;November 14-18.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cEven&nbsp;though&nbsp;sentiment remained relatively unchanged in November, producers are continuing to look at their bottom line,\u201d&nbsp;said&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/team\/jim-mintert\/\">James Mintert<\/a>, the barometer\u2019s principal investigator and director of Purdue University\u2019s Center for Commercial Agriculture.&nbsp;\u201cRising interest rates combined with high input and energy costs are creating a lot of uncertainty at the farm level.\u201d&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The&nbsp;<em>Farm Financial Performance Index<\/em>&nbsp;improved modestly this month to 91, up 5 points from&nbsp;October,&nbsp;but&nbsp;it remains&nbsp;14% below&nbsp;this same time period last year.&nbsp;While nearly one-third of producers&nbsp;continue to&nbsp;express concern that their farms\u2019&nbsp;financial performance this year&nbsp;will be worse&nbsp;than the&nbsp;prior&nbsp;year,&nbsp;just over two-thirds of producers expect their farms\u2019 2022 financial performance to&nbsp;be&nbsp;equal&nbsp;to&nbsp;or exceed 2021\u2019s. Still, high input costs continue&nbsp;to weigh on producers\u2019 minds with 42% of respondents in this month\u2019s survey citing that as their top concern in the year ahead. Just over one-fifth (21%) of respondents chose rising interest rates,&nbsp;while 14% cited&nbsp;input availability and declining commodity prices as a top concern.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The&nbsp;<em>Farm Capital Investment Index<\/em>&nbsp;dropped back to its record low of 31 in November, erasing gains from the previous month. Nearly 80% of respondents indicated now is a \u201cbad time\u201d to make large investments in farm machinery and of those, 47%&nbsp;chose \u201crising prices of farm machinery and new construction\u201d as the primary reason.&nbsp;By comparison, only 10% of respondents felt now is a \u201cgood time\u201d to make large investments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Given the sharp rise in energy prices that\u2019s taken place this year, this month\u2019s survey asked producers how they\u2019ve responded to the&nbsp;cost&nbsp;increase. Just over a fourth (27%) of this month\u2019s&nbsp;respondents&nbsp;indicated they\u2019ve made changes in their operation because of rising prices for energy.&nbsp;Of those who indicated they made changes,&nbsp;33%&nbsp;indicated they&nbsp;reduced tillage, 24%&nbsp;reduced nitrogen rates and\/or changed application timing, 11%&nbsp;increased their&nbsp;use of no-till, and&nbsp;8% said they reduced crop drying.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Farmland auction results in the Corn Belt continue to set new record highs,&nbsp;yet&nbsp;producers&nbsp;show signs of&nbsp;becoming less bullish on farmland values. The&nbsp;<em>Short-Term Farmland Value Expectation Index<\/em>&nbsp;declined&nbsp;4&nbsp;points to a reading of 129 and the&nbsp;<em>Long-Term Farmland Value Expectation Index<\/em>&nbsp;remained unchanged at 144. Both&nbsp;indices&nbsp;are&nbsp;well below the highs established in fall 2021.&nbsp;When asked to look ahead one year, 12% of respondents this month said they expect values to decline compared to just&nbsp;4% who felt that way a year ago. Among producers who expect farmland values to rise over the next 5 years, over half (52%) chose non-farm investor demand as the primary reason for their optimism<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Read the full&nbsp;<em>Ag Economy Barometer<\/em>&nbsp;report at&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/purdue.ag\/agbarometer\">https:\/\/purdue.ag\/agbarometer<\/a>.&nbsp;The site also offers additional resources \u2013 such as past reports, charts and survey methodology \u2013 and a form to sign up for monthly barometer email updates and webinars.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Each month,&nbsp;the Purdue Center for Commercial Agriculture provides a short video analysis of the barometer results, available at&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/purdue.ag\/barometervideo\">https:\/\/purdue.ag\/barometervideo<\/a>. For more information, check out the&nbsp;<em>Purdue Commercial AgCast<\/em>&nbsp;podcast&nbsp;available at&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/purdue.ag\/agcast\">https:\/\/purdue.ag\/agcast<\/a>,&nbsp;which&nbsp;includes a detailed breakdown of each month\u2019s barometer, in addition to a discussion of recent agricultural news that&nbsp;affects&nbsp;farmers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Ag Economy Barometer, Index of Current Conditions and Index of Future Expectations are available on the Bloomberg Terminal under the following ticker symbols: AGECBARO, AGECCURC and AGECFTEX.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>About the Purdue University Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/Pages\/default.aspx\">Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/a>&nbsp;was founded in 2011 to provide professional development and educational programs for farmers. Housed within Purdue University\u2019s Department of Agricultural Economics, the center\u2019s faculty and staff develop and execute research and educational programs that address the different needs of managing in today\u2019s business environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>About CME Group<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As the world&#8217;s leading and most diverse derivatives marketplace, CME Group (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/\">www.cmegroup.com<\/a>)&nbsp;enables clients to trade futures, options, cash and OTC markets, optimize portfolios, and analyze data \u2013 empowering market participants worldwide to efficiently manage risk and capture opportunities. CME Group exchanges offer the widest range of global benchmark products across all major asset classes based on&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/trading\/interest-rates\/index.html\">interest rates<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/trading\/equity-index\/index.html\">equity indexes<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/trading\/fx\/\">foreign&nbsp;exchange<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/trading\/energy\/\">energy<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/trading\/agricultural\/\">agricultural products<\/a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/trading\/metals\/\">metals<\/a>.&nbsp; The company offers futures and options on futures trading through the&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/globex\/index.html\">CME Globex<\/a>\u00ae platform, fixed income trading via BrokerTec and foreign exchange trading on the EBS platform.&nbsp; In addition, it operates one of the world&#8217;s leading central counterparty clearing providers, CME Clearing.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">CME Group, the Globe logo, CME, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Globex, and, E-mini&nbsp;are trademarks of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc.&nbsp; CBOT and Chicago Board of Trade are trademarks of Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, Inc.&nbsp; NYMEX, New York Mercantile Exchange and ClearPort are trademarks of New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc.&nbsp; COMEX is a trademark of Commodity Exchange, Inc. BrokerTec and EBS are trademarks of BrokerTec Europe LTD and EBS Group LTD, respectively.<strong>&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/strong>Dow Jones, Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&amp;P 500 and S&amp;P are service and\/or trademarks of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC, Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s Financial Services LLC and S&amp;P\/Dow Jones Indices LLC, as the case may be, and have been licensed for use by Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc.&nbsp; All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Writer:&nbsp;Kami Goodwin, 765-494-6999,&nbsp;<a href=\"mailto:kami@purdue.edu\">kami@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Source: James Mintert, 765-494-7004,&nbsp;<a href=\"mailto:jmintert@purdue.edu\">jmintert@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Media Contacts:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Aissa Good, Purdue University, 765-496-3884,&nbsp;<a href=\"mailto:aissa@purdue.edu\">aissa@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dana Schmidt, CME Group, 312-872-5443,&nbsp;<a href=\"mailto:dana.schmidt@cmegroup.com\">dana.schmidt@cmegroup.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Related websites:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Purdue University Center for Commercial Agriculture:&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/purdue.edu\/commercialag\">http:\/\/purdue.edu\/commercialag<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">CME Group:&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/\">http:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Photo Caption:&nbsp;High input costs and rising interest rates top concerns as farmer sentiment remains unchanged&nbsp;(Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer\/James Mintert).&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.purdue.edu\/uns\/images\/2022\/ag-barometer1122LO.jpg\">https:\/\/www.purdue.edu\/uns\/images\/2022\/ag-barometer1122LO.jpg<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Farmer sentiment was unchanged in November as the Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer Index came in at a reading of 102, the same as in October. This month&#8217;s survey was conducted November 14-18, 2022. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":26,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12870","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-media"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>High input costs and rising interest rates top concerns as farmer sentiment remains unchanged<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Farmer sentiment was unchanged in November as the Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer Index came in at a reading of 102, the same as in October.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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