{"id":14888,"date":"2025-06-03T09:15:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-03T13:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/?p=14888"},"modified":"2025-06-02T11:35:11","modified_gmt":"2025-06-02T15:35:11","slug":"media-farmer-sentiment-reaches-a-four-year-high-in-may","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/media-farmer-sentiment-reaches-a-four-year-high-in-may\/","title":{"rendered":"Farmer sentiment reaches a four-year high in May\u00a0\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. \u2014 Farmer sentiment improved for the second consecutive month in May, reaching its highest level since May 2021. The Purdue University\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer<\/a> rose 10 points to a reading of 158, up from 148 in April. Both the Index of Current Conditions and the Index of Future Expectations contributed to the increase, with the current conditions index up 5 points to 146 and the future expectations index jumping 12 points to 164. The sentiment boost was driven by a more optimistic outlook on U.S. agricultural exports and a less negative view of how tariffs will impact farm income in 2025. The May barometer survey took place May 12-16.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Farmer

Farmer sentiment reaches a four-year high in May.<\/strong> (Purdue University\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer\/James Mintert)<\/p><\/div>\n

The Farm Financial Performance Index increased by 8 points in May to a reading of 109, suggesting producers expect 2025 to be a somewhat stronger income year than 2024. However, the Farm Capital Investment Index declined 6 points to a reading of 55, primarily driven by fewer producers saying now is a good time to invest in their farm operations. Despite the drop in this month\u2019s investment index reading, the index remains stronger than it was in May of the last three years, when readings ranged from 35 to 37. Since November 2024, the investment index has averaged a reading of 54, which is higher than the 35-point average recorded from January through October 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Short-Term Farmland Value Expectations Index rose sharply in May, climbing 14 points from April\u2019s report to a reading of 124 \u2014 the highest reading since March 2024. The shift reflects a growing anticipation among producers that farmland values will increase, with 37% of respondents now predicting a rise, up from 25% in April. At the same time, the percentage of producers who expect values to remain steady declined from 60% to 50% in May.<\/p>\n

A key factor contributing to this month\u2019s climb in farmer sentiment could be linked to a more positive view of the U.S.\u2019s long-run agricultural trade prospects. In May, 52% of producers said they expect agricultural exports to increase over the next five years, surging from 33% in April and the highest percentage of positive responses to this question since November 2020. Meanwhile, 12% of producers said they believe exports will decline, down from 24% the previous month.<\/p>\n

To better understand U.S. producer views on trade, the May survey revisited a barometer question first asked in the fall of 2020. Producers were asked to rate their agreement with the statement, \u201cFree trade benefits agriculture and most other American industries.\u201d On average, 49% of respondents \u201cstrongly agreed\u201d with the statement during the fall 2020 surveys. In contrast, only 28% of respondents chose \u201cstrongly agreed\u201d in May 2025. Additional evidence of changing views comes from responses to questions about the impact of U.S. tariff policies on their farms\u2019 income. In March and April, 57% and 56% of producers, respectively, responded that tariffs are likely to have a \u201cnegative\u201d or \u201cvery negative\u201d effect on their farm\u2019s income. However, by May, only 43% of respondents said they expected a negative impact, while those indicating \u201cno impact\u201d rose to 30%, up from 19% in March and 22% in April.<\/p>\n

The May survey also included two questions related to farm labor to learn more about whether producers are facing challenges in hiring adequate labor for their farm operations. Just over half (51%) of respondents reported that they typically hire nonfamily labor. Among this group, one in four said they expect to face difficulties hiring adequate labor due to the U.S. administration\u2019s immigration reduction policies. Specifically, 10% anticipate having a \u201clot of difficulty,\u201d while 16% expect \u201csome difficulty\u201d in hiring adequate labor. While the Ag Economy Barometer\u2019s survey does not explicitly target specialty crop producers who more commonly rely on nonfamily labor, these results suggest labor availability could be an emerging concern for some U.S. crop and livestock operations.<\/p>\n

\u201cWhile the uptick in sentiment is certainly notable, it\u2019s important to recognize that producers are navigating a complex mix of optimism and caution,\u201d said Michael Langemeier<\/a>, the barometer\u2019s principal investigator and director of Purdue University\u2019s Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/a>. \u201cProducers\u2019 expectations for exports and farm income have improved, but concerns remain about capital investment and, for some operations, the potential for labor shortages due to immigration policy changes.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n

About the Purdue University Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/strong><\/p>\n

The Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/a> was founded in 2011 to provide professional development and educational programs for farmers. Housed within Purdue University\u2019s Department of Agricultural Economics, the center\u2019s faculty and staff develop and execute research and educational programs that address the different needs of managing in today\u2019s business environment.<\/p>\n\n\n

About CME Group<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world\u2019s leading derivatives marketplace,\u00a0CME Group<\/a>\u00a0enables clients to trade futures, options, cash and OTC markets, optimize portfolios, and analyze data \u2014 empowering market participants worldwide to efficiently manage risk and capture opportunities. CME Group exchanges offer the widest range of global benchmark products across all major asset classes based on\u00a0interest rates<\/a>,\u00a0equity indexes<\/a>,\u00a0foreign exchange<\/a>,\u00a0energy<\/a>,\u00a0agricultural products<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0metals<\/a>. The company offers futures and options on futures trading through the\u00a0CME Globex<\/a>\u00a0platform, fixed income trading via BrokerTec and foreign exchange trading on the EBS platform. In addition, it operates one of the world\u2019s leading central counterparty clearing providers, CME Clearing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CME Group, the Globe logo, CME, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Globex, and E-mini are trademarks of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. CBOT and Chicago Board of Trade are trademarks of Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, Inc. NYMEX, New York Mercantile Exchange and ClearPort are trademarks of New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. COMEX is a trademark of Commodity Exchange, Inc. BrokerTec is a trademark of BrokerTec Americas LLC and EBS is a trademark of EBS Group LTD. The S&P 500 Index is a product of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC (\u201cS&P DJI\u201d). \u201cS&P\u00ae\u201d, \u201cS&P 500\u00ae\u201d, \u201cSPY\u00ae\u201d, \u201cSPX\u00ae\u201d, US 500 and The 500 are trademarks of Standard & Poor\u2019s Financial Services LLC; Dow Jones\u00ae, DJIA\u00ae and Dow Jones Industrial Average are service and\/or trademarks of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. These trademarks have been licensed for use by Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. Futures contracts based on the S&P 500 Index are not sponsored, endorsed, marketed, or promoted by S&P DJI, and S&P DJI makes no representation regarding the advisability of investing in such products. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

About Purdue University<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Purdue University is a public research university leading with excellence at scale. Ranked among top 10 public universities in the United States, Purdue discovers, disseminates and deploys knowledge with a quality and at a scale second to none. More than 107,000 students study at Purdue across multiple campuses, locations and modalities, including more than 58,000 at our main campus in West Lafayette and Indianapolis. Committed to affordability and accessibility, Purdue\u2019s main campus has frozen tuition 14 years in a row. See how Purdue never stops in the persistent pursuit of the next giant leap \u2014 including its comprehensive urban expansion, the Mitch Daniels School of Business, Purdue Computes and the One Health initiative \u2014 at\u00a0https:\/\/www.purdue.edu\/president\/strategic-initiatives<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sources and Notes block:<\/strong>
Source:<\/strong> Michael Langemeier, mlangeme@purdue.edu<\/a>, 765-494-9557<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Media Contacts:<\/strong>
Aissa Good, Purdue University, aissa@purdue.edu<\/a>, 765-496-3884
Dana Schmidt, CME Group, dana.schmidt@cmegroup.com<\/a>, 312-872-5443<\/p>\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. \u2014 Farmer sentiment improved for the second consecutive month in May, reaching its highest level since May 2021. The Purdue University\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer rose 10 points to a reading of 158, up from 148 in April. Both the Index of Current Conditions and the Index of Future Expectations contributed to the increase,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14888","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-media"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nFarmer sentiment reaches a four-year high in May\u00a0\u00a0<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Farmer sentiment improved in April as producers expressed more optimism about current and future conditions on their farms. 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