{"id":2232,"date":"2018-09-04T09:30:04","date_gmt":"2018-09-04T13:30:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/?p=2232"},"modified":"2018-08-31T15:45:42","modified_gmt":"2018-08-31T19:45:42","slug":"farmer-sentiment-rises-but-opinions-split-over-potential-impact-of-aid-package","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/farmer-sentiment-rises-but-opinions-split-over-potential-impact-of-aid-package\/","title":{"rendered":"Farmer sentiment rises, but opinions split over potential impact of aid package"},"content":{"rendered":"

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. and CHICAGO \u2013 Agricultural producer sentiment increased modestly in August after dipping sharply in July according to the latest Purdue University\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer<\/a> reading. The barometer, which is based on a monthly survey of 400 agricultural producers from across the country, had an August reading of 129, 12 points higher than July but still well below readings from May and June.<\/p>\n

\u201cFarmer sentiment has improved over the past month, but producers are uncertain about the aid package\u2019s ability to offset income losses on their farm,\u201d said James Mintert<\/a>, the barometer\u2019s principal investigator and director of Purdue University\u2019s Center for Commercial Agriculture.<\/p>\n

\"August

Farmer sentiment rises, but opinions split over potential impact of aid package<\/p><\/div>\n

The uptick in this month\u2019s barometer derived largely from producers\u2019 improved perception of the current situation as the Index of Current Conditions rose to 121 from 99 in July. The Index of Future Expectations also rose, but the increase was to 132, just 6 points above its July reading.<\/p>\n

Before the August survey was conducted, the USDA announced intentions to provide aid to farmers impacted by importers\u2019 tariffs. When asked specifically about the relief plan\u2019s expected impact, farmers were split on whether they believed the plan addressed concerns about tariffs\u2019 impact on their farm\u2019s income with 47 percent saying \u201cnot at all\u201d and a total of 47 percent saying either \u201ccompletely\u201d (4 percent) or \u201csomewhat\u201d (43 percent).<\/p>\n

In August, producers were again asked how likely they thought it was that a trade war would reduce their farm\u2019s net income. While 71 percent (virtually unchanged from July) felt their farm income will be negatively impacted, respondents who expect to see an income reduction of 20 percent or more fell from 35 percent in July to 26 percent on the August survey. \u201cFarmers are still concerned trade conflicts will reduce their farm\u2019s income, but some farmers clearly scaled back the magnitude of losses they expect compared to what they told us in July,\u201d said Mintert.<\/p>\n

This less pessimistic view also impacted producers\u2019 expectations for the future of U.S. agriculture. In August, there was a small increase in respondents expecting good times in agriculture in the year ahead, rising to 22 percent from 19 percent in July. The improvement was reinforced by a significant downturn in those expecting bad times, which fell to 52 percent in August versus 61 percent in July. Similar readings occurred for attitudes on whether it was a good time to make large farm investments, which improved to 26 percent in August compared to 20 percent in July.\u00a0 Read the full August Ag Economy Barometer report at http:\/\/purdue.edu\/agbarometer<\/a>. This month\u2019s report includes producer\u2019s responses to questions about how much of their 2018 soybean crop was priced prior to the downturn in prices and their farmland price outlook. Additional August barometer analysis can also be found in a video from Center for Commercial Agriculture Director James Mintert at https:\/\/youtu.be\/SVyoLpBDd4s<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The Ag Economy Barometer, Index of Current Conditions and Index of Future Expectations are available on the Bloomberg Terminal under the following ticker symbols: AGECBARO, AGECCURC and AGECFTEX.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

About the Purdue University Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/strong><\/p>\n

The Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/a> was founded in 2011 to provide professional development and educational programs for farmers. Housed within Purdue University’s Department of Agricultural Economics, the center\u2019s faculty and staff develop and execute research and educational programs that address the different needs of managing in today\u2019s business environment.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

About CME Group<\/strong><\/p>\n

As the world\u2019s leading and most diverse derivatives marketplace, CME Group (www.cmegroup.com<\/a>) is where the world comes to manage risk. CME Group exchanges offer the widest range of global benchmark products across all major asset classes, including futures and options based on interest rates<\/a>, equity indexes<\/a>, foreign exchange<\/a>, energy<\/a>, agricultural products<\/a> and metals<\/a>. Around the world, CME Group brings buyers and sellers together through its CME Globex<\/a>\u00ae electronic trading platform. CME Group also operates one of the world\u2019s leading central counterparty clearing providers through CME Clearing<\/a>, which offers clearing and settlement services across asset classes for exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives. CME Group products and services ensure that businesses around the world can effectively manage risk and achieve growth.<\/p>\n

CME Group, the Globe logo, CME, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Globex and E-mini are trademarks of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. CBOT and Chicago Board of Trade are trademarks of Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, Inc.\u00a0 NYMEX, New York Mercantile Exchange and ClearPort are trademarks of New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc.\u00a0 COMEX is a trademark of Commodity Exchange, Inc.\u00a0 Dow Jones, Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and S&P are service and\/or trademarks of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC, Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC and S&P\/Dow Jones Indices LLC, as the case may be, and have been licensed for use by Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc.\u00a0 All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Writer:<\/strong> Kami Goodwin, 765-494-6999, kami@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Source:<\/strong> Jim Mintert, 765-494-4310, jmintert@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Media Contacts:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Lisa Swain, Purdue University, 765-494-8151, swainl@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n

Chris Grams, CME Group, 312-930-3435, chris.grams@cmegroup.com<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Related website:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Purdue University Center for Commercial Agriculture: http:\/\/purdue.edu\/commercialag<\/a><\/p>\n

CME Group: http:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Photo Caption:<\/strong> The Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer records modest rise against backdrop of USDA relief package announcement. (Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer\/James Mintert)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

A publication-quality photo is available at https:\/\/news.uns.purdue.edu\/images\/2018\/august-barometer.jpg<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. and CHICAGO \u2013 Agricultural producer sentiment increased modestly in August after dipping sharply in July according to the latest Purdue University\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer reading. 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