{"id":2440,"date":"2018-12-04T09:30:31","date_gmt":"2018-12-04T13:30:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/?p=2440"},"modified":"2018-12-04T09:19:08","modified_gmt":"2018-12-04T13:19:08","slug":"producer-sentiment-holds-steady-but-lack-of-new-farm-bill-concerns-farmers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/producer-sentiment-holds-steady-but-lack-of-new-farm-bill-concerns-farmers\/","title":{"rendered":"Producer sentiment holds steady, but lack of new farm bill concerns farmers"},"content":{"rendered":"

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. and CHICAGO \u2013 Agricultural producer sentiment held steady in November with producers remaining optimistic about the state of the agricultural economy, according to results from the Purdue University\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer<\/a>. The November barometer reading of 134 was only 1 percent lower than October, which is similar to levels seen last spring before trade disruptions began. The barometer utilizes a survey of 400 agricultural producers from across the country.<\/p>\n

\"Producer

Producer sentiment holds steady according to latest Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer, but lack of new farm bill concerns farmers. (Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer\/James Mintert)<\/p><\/div>\n

The barometer\u2019s two sub-indices remain mostly unchanged from October; the Index of Current Conditions held at 115, and the Index of Future Expectations dropped 3 points to a reading of 143.<\/p>\n

\u201cAlthough there was a modest decline in the barometer this month, there was some evidence that producers are becoming more confident regarding the U.S. agricultural economy\u2019s future,\u201d said James Mintert<\/a>, the barometer\u2019s principal investigator and director of Purdue University\u2019s Center for Commercial Agriculture.<\/p>\n

That confidence can be seen in producers\u2019 attitudes towards their willingness to make large farm investments. Each month producers are asked whether now is a \u201cgood time\u201d or \u201cbad time\u201d to make a large investment in buildings and machinery. Their responses are used to produce a large investment index. In November, that investment index stood at 56, up from 52 in October and 10 points higher than in September of 2018 when the index set a new low of 42.<\/p>\n

Producers were also more optimistic regarding their long term perspective on farmland values, with 50 percent expecting higher farmland values over the next 5 years, a sharp departure from a month earlier when just 21 percent said they expected higher farmland values.<\/p>\n

However, this increase in confidence was not driven by expected improvements in profitability. In November, only 13 percent of respondents said they expect farm profitability to improve in the next 12 months. When asked about farmers\u2019 equity position, 44 expect to see equity diminish in the upcoming year. \u00a0Rising interest rates could also be a factor in these perceptions as a rise in interest rates can impact profitability and the value of large farm assets. When asked, 85 percent of producers said they expect interest rates to rise in the next year and 76 percent expect to see a rise in the next 5 years compared to 2018.<\/p>\n

With November marking an end to the mid-term election cycle, producers were asked whether they were concerned that Congress had not passed new farm bill legislation. Seventy-five percent of respondents said they were either \u201csomewhat or very concerned,\u201d 33 percent said they were \u201cvery concerned,\u201d and 24 percent said they were \u201cnot at all concerned\u201d about the lack of new Farm Bill legislation.<\/p>\n

Read the full November Ag Economy Barometer report at http:\/\/purdue.edu\/agbarometer<\/a>. This month\u2019s report includes additional information on producers\u2019 future expectations for agricultural exports and an update on producers\u2019 intentions to reduce their soybean acreage in the 2019 season. Additional November barometer analysis can also be found in a video from Mintert at https:\/\/youtu.be\/Q-9NqD14EdE<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The Ag Economy Barometer, Index of Current Conditions and Index of Future Expectations are available on the Bloomberg Terminal under the following ticker symbols: AGECBARO, AGECCURC and AGECFTEX.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

About the Purdue University Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/strong><\/p>\n

The Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/a> was founded in 2011 to provide professional development and educational programs for farmers. Housed within Purdue University’s Department of Agricultural Economics, the center\u2019s faculty and staff develop and execute research and educational programs that address the different needs of managing in today\u2019s business environment.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

About CME Group<\/strong><\/p>\n

As the world’s leading and most diverse derivatives marketplace, CME Group (www.cmegroup.com<\/a><\/u>) enables clients to trade futures, options, cash and OTC markets, optimize portfolios, and analyze data \u2013 empowering market participants worldwide to efficiently manage risk and capture opportunities. CME Group exchanges offer the widest range of global benchmark products across all major asset classes based on\u00a0interest rates<\/a><\/u>,\u00a0equity indexes<\/a><\/u>,\u00a0foreign exchange<\/a><\/u>,\u00a0energy<\/a><\/u>,\u00a0agricultural products<\/a><\/u>\u00a0and\u00a0metals<\/a><\/u>.\u00a0 The company offers futures and options on futures trading through the CME Globex<\/a><\/u>\u00ae platform, fixed income trading via BrokerTec and foreign exchange trading on the EBS platform.\u00a0 In addition, it operates one of the world’s leading central counterparty clearing providers, CME Clearing.\u00a0 With a range of pre- and post-trade products and services underpinning the entire lifecycle of a trade, CME Group also offers optimization and reconciliation services through TriOptima, and trade processing services through Traiana.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

CME Group, the Globe logo, CME, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Globex, and, E-mini are trademarks of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc.\u00a0 CBOT and Chicago Board of Trade are trademarks of Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, Inc.\u00a0 NYMEX, New York Mercantile Exchange and ClearPort are trademarks of New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc.\u00a0 COMEX is a trademark of Commodity Exchange, Inc. BrokerTec, EBS, TriOptima, and Traiana are trademarks of BrokerTec Europe LTD, EBS Group LTD, TriOptima AB, and Traiana, Inc., respectively.\u00a0 <\/strong>Dow Jones, Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and S&P are service and\/or trademarks of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC, Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC and S&P\/Dow Jones Indices LLC, as the case may be, and have been licensed for use by Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc.\u00a0 All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Writer:<\/strong> Kami Goodwin, 765-494-6999, kami@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Source:<\/strong> Jim Mintert, 765-494-4310, jmintert@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Media Contacts:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Aissa Good, Purdue University, 765-496-3884, aissa@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n

Chris Grams, CME Group, 312-930-3435, chris.grams@cmegroup.com<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Related website:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Purdue University Center for Commercial Agriculture: http:\/\/purdue.edu\/commercialag<\/a><\/p>\n

CME Group: http:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Photo Caption:<\/strong> Producer sentiment holds steady according to latest Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer, but lack of new farm bill concerns farmers. (Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer\/James Mintert)<\/p>\n

A publication-quality photo is available at https:\/\/news.uns.purdue.edu\/images\/2018\/november-barometer.jpg<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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