{"id":2543,"date":"2019-01-08T09:30:43","date_gmt":"2019-01-08T13:30:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/?p=2543"},"modified":"2019-01-07T12:08:10","modified_gmt":"2019-01-07T16:08:10","slug":"ag-producers-sentiment-drifts-lower-trade-disputes-continue-to-concern-farmers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/ag-producers-sentiment-drifts-lower-trade-disputes-continue-to-concern-farmers\/","title":{"rendered":"Ag Producers\u2019 sentiment drifts lower; trade disputes continue to concern farmers"},"content":{"rendered":"

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. and CHICAGO \u2013 There was a modest drop in agricultural producer sentiment in December as farmers\u2019 perception of both current and future economic conditions weakened, according to results from the Purdue University\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer<\/a>. The December barometer reading of 127 was 7 points lower than November. The barometer is based on 400 survey responses from agricultural producers across the country.<\/p>\n

\"Ag

Ag Producers\u2019 sentiment drifts lower; trade disputes continue to concern farmers according to latest Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer. (Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer\/James Mintert)<\/p><\/div>\n

Both of the barometer\u2019s two sub-indices declined in December: the Index of Current Conditions fell 6 points to 109, and the Index of Future Expectations fell 8 points to 135. When comparing these readings to December 2017, the Index of Current Conditions is substantially lower, registering a decline of 30 points, while the Index of Future Expectations actually improved from year-to-year with an uptick of 15 points.<\/p>\n

\u201cOver the course of the last year, producers\u2019 impression of current economic conditions on their farms has declined markedly\u201d said James Mintert<\/a>, the barometer\u2019s principal investigator and director of Purdue University\u2019s Center for Commercial Agriculture. \u201cBut at the same time their expectations for future economic conditions have held steady,\u201d said Mintert. \u201cAs a result of this mixed view, farmers appear to be cautious about making large investments in their farming operations.\u201d<\/p>\n

For example, in December 2018 the Large Farm Investment Index, which measures whether producers feel this is a good time to make large farm investments, fell 5 points to a reading of 51. This marked a 29 point drop from one year ago when it reached a reading of 70. Those same concerns were also apparent when producers were asked whether now is a \u201cgood time\u201d or \u201cnot a good time\u201d to bring a new generation of family into the business. Just 42 percent said now was a \u201cgood time\u201d compared to approximately half during the previous two years. However, when looking ahead 5 years, 65 percent of producers expect conditions to be more favorable to onboarding a new generation.<\/p>\n

International agricultural trade issues continue to cause concern and could be causing producers\u2019 reduced confidence in current economic conditions. When producers were asked whether they expect exports to increase or decrease in the next five years, 59 percent indicated that they expect ag exports to increase, down 7 points from November\u2019s survey response, whereas 26 percent expect ag exports to decrease, up from 10 percent on the November survey.<\/p>\n

Read the full December Ag Economy Barometer report at http:\/\/purdue.edu\/agbarometer<\/a>. This month\u2019s report includes additional information about farmers usage of and perceived value of incorporating drone technology into their farm\u2019s operation as well as their production expectations for the pork, beef, and dairy industries. Each month Dr. Mintert also provides an in-depth analysis of the barometer. That video is available at purdue.edu\/agbarometer<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The Ag Economy Barometer, Index of Current Conditions and Index of Future Expectations are available on the Bloomberg Terminal under the following ticker symbols: AGECBARO, AGECCURC and AGECFTEX.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

About the Purdue University Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/strong><\/p>\n

The Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/a> was founded in 2011 to provide professional development and educational programs for farmers. Housed within Purdue University’s Department of Agricultural Economics, the center\u2019s faculty and staff develop and execute research and educational programs that address the different needs of managing in today\u2019s business environment.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

About CME Group<\/strong><\/p>\n

As the world’s leading and most diverse derivatives marketplace, CME Group (www.cmegroup.com<\/a><\/u>) enables clients to trade futures, options, cash and OTC markets, optimize portfolios, and analyze data \u2013 empowering market participants worldwide to efficiently manage risk and capture opportunities. CME Group exchanges offer the widest range of global benchmark products across all major asset classes based on\u00a0interest rates<\/a><\/u>,\u00a0equity indexes<\/a><\/u>,\u00a0foreign exchange<\/a><\/u>,\u00a0energy<\/a><\/u>,\u00a0agricultural products<\/a><\/u>\u00a0and\u00a0metals<\/a><\/u>.\u00a0 The company offers futures and options on futures trading through the CME Globex<\/a><\/u>\u00ae platform, fixed income trading via BrokerTec and foreign exchange trading on the EBS platform.\u00a0 In addition, it operates one of the world’s leading central counterparty clearing providers, CME Clearing.\u00a0 With a range of pre- and post-trade products and services underpinning the entire lifecycle of a trade, CME Group also offers optimization and reconciliation services through TriOptima, and trade processing services through Traiana.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

CME Group, the Globe logo, CME, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Globex, and, E-mini are trademarks of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc.\u00a0 CBOT and Chicago Board of Trade are trademarks of Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, Inc.\u00a0 NYMEX, New York Mercantile Exchange and ClearPort are trademarks of New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc.\u00a0 COMEX is a trademark of Commodity Exchange, Inc. BrokerTec, EBS, TriOptima, and Traiana are trademarks of BrokerTec Europe LTD, EBS Group LTD, TriOptima AB, and Traiana, Inc., respectively.\u00a0 <\/strong>Dow Jones, Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and S&P are service and\/or trademarks of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC, Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC and S&P\/Dow Jones Indices LLC, as the case may be, and have been licensed for use by Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc.\u00a0 All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Writer:<\/strong> Kami Goodwin, 765-494-6999, kami@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Source:<\/strong> Jim Mintert, 765-494-4310, jmintert@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Media Contacts:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Aissa Good, Purdue University, 765-496-3884, aissa@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n

Matt Stroud, CME Group, 312-561-2269, matthew.stroud@cmegroup.com<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Related website:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Purdue University Center for Commercial Agriculture: http:\/\/purdue.edu\/commercialag<\/a><\/p>\n

CME Group: http:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Photo Caption:<\/strong> Ag Producers\u2019 sentiment drifts lower; trade disputes continue to concern farmers according to latest Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer. (Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer\/James Mintert)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

A publication-quality photo is available at https:\/\/news.uns.purdue.edu\/images\/2019\/december-barometer.jpg<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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