{"id":3572,"date":"2019-06-04T09:30:13","date_gmt":"2019-06-04T13:30:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/?p=3572"},"modified":"2019-06-03T14:06:47","modified_gmt":"2019-06-03T18:06:47","slug":"farmer-sentiment-hits-lowest-level-in-over-two-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/farmer-sentiment-hits-lowest-level-in-over-two-years\/","title":{"rendered":"Farmer sentiment hits lowest level in over two years"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. and CHICAGO \u2013 Ag producer sentiment dropped to its lowest level since October 2016, erasing all improvements recorded following the November 2016 election. The Purdue University\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer<\/a>, based on a mid-month survey of 400 agricultural producers across the U.S., declined 14 points in May to a reading of 101, down from 115 in April. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The decline in the barometer came about because producers\u2019 perspectives on both current and future economic conditions worsened considerably compared to a month earlier. The Index of Current Conditions fell to a reading of 84, down from 99, and the Index of Future Expectations fell to 108, down from 123.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\n
\"Farmer
Farmer sentiment hits lowest level in over two years. (Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer\/James Mintert)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\u201cAg producers are telling us the agricultural economy weakened considerably this spring as the barometer has fallen 42 points (29%) since the start of this year,\u201d said James Mintert<\/a>, the barometer\u2019s principal investigator and director of Purdue University\u2019s Center for Commercial Agriculture. \u201cFarmers are facing tough decisions in the midst of a wet planting season and a lot of uncertainty surrounding trade discussions.\u201d <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Large Farm Investment Index, which measures producers\u2019 attitudes toward making large investments in their farming operation, has ebbed and flowed over the past year; however, since the beginning of 2019, the index has trended significantly lower. In May, just 18% of farmers stated it was a \u201cgood time\u201d to make large farm investments while 81% stated it was a \u201cbad time,\u201d pushing the investment index down to a reading of 37. This is the lowest Large Farm Investment Index reading since the Ag Economy Barometer\u2019s October 2015 inception. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Farmers\u2019 optimism toward short- and long-term farmland values has also waned since the early part of 2019. For example, the percentage of farmers that expect farmland values to decline over the course of the upcoming year jumped from 21% in January to 25% in March and most recently to 30% in May. Looking farther ahead, just 39% of producers said they expect farmland values to rise over the next five years, compared to 48% expecting rising values in the March survey.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Agricultural trade continues to be a source of concern for producers. For the past three months, producers were asked whether they expect the soybean trade dispute with China to be resolved by July 1 and whether they feel the resolution will benefit U.S. agriculture. When the question was first posed in March, 45% of respondents expected the dispute to be resolved by July 1; that number declined to 28% in April and fell further to 20% in May. Regarding whether they ultimately expect an outcome favorable to U.S. agriculture, 77% said yes in March, which declined to 71% in April, and fell further to 65% in May. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\u201cAt\nthis time, a majority of producers still expect a favorable outcome for\nagriculture to the trade dispute,\u201d said Mintert, \u201cbut that majority appears to\nbe shrinking.\u201d\n\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Read the full May Ag Economy Barometer report at https:\/\/purdue.ag\/agbarometer<\/a>. This month\u2019s report includes more information about each of the survey questions, as well as a look into farmers\u2019 perceptions toward their equity positions. The site also offers additional resources \u2013 such as past reports, charts and survey methodology \u2013 and a form to sign up for monthly barometer email updates and webinars. Each month, Dr. Mintert also provides an in-depth video analysis of the barometer, available at https:\/\/purdue.ag\/barometervideo<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Ag Economy Barometer, Index of Current Conditions and Index of Future Expectations are available on the Bloomberg Terminal under the following ticker symbols: AGECBARO, AGECCURC and AGECFTEX.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

About the Purdue\nUniversity Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/a> was founded in 2011 to provide professional development and educational programs for farmers. Housed within Purdue University\u2019s Department of Agricultural Economics, the center\u2019s faculty and staff develop and execute research and educational programs that address the different needs of managing in today\u2019s business environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

About CME Group<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world\u2019s leading and most diverse derivatives marketplace, CME Group (www.cmegroup.com<\/a>) enables clients to trade futures, options, cash and OTC markets, optimize portfolios, and analyze data \u2013 empowering market participants worldwide to efficiently manage risk and capture opportunities. CME Group exchanges offer the widest range of global benchmark products across all major asset classes based on\u00a0interest rates<\/a>,\u00a0equity indexes<\/a>,\u00a0foreign exchange<\/a>,\u00a0energy<\/a>,\u00a0agricultural products<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0metals<\/a>.\u00a0 The company offers futures and options on futures trading through the CME Globex<\/a>\u00ae platform, fixed income trading via BrokerTec and foreign exchange trading on the EBS platform. In addition, it operates one of the world\u2019s leading central counterparty clearing providers, CME Clearing. With a range of pre- and post-trade products and services underpinning the entire lifecycle of a trade, CME Group also offers optimization and reconciliation services through TriOptima, and trade processing services through Traiana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CME Group, the Globe logo, CME, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Globex, and E-mini are trademarks of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc.\u00a0CBOT and Chicago Board of Trade are trademarks of Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, Inc.\u00a0NYMEX, New York Mercantile Exchange and ClearPort are trademarks of New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc.\u00a0COMEX is a trademark of Commodity Exchange, Inc. BrokerTec, EBS, TriOptima, and Traiana are trademarks of BrokerTec Europe LTD, EBS Group LTD, TriOptima AB, and Traiana, Inc., respectively.Dow Jones, Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and S&P are service and\/or trademarks of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC, Standard & Poor\u2019s Financial Services LLC and S&P\/Dow Jones Indices LLC, as the case may be, and have been licensed for use by Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc.\u00a0All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Writer:<\/strong> Kami\nGoodwin, 765-494-6999, kami@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Source:<\/strong> Jim Mintert, 765-494-7004, jmintert@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Media Contacts:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Aissa Good, Purdue University, 765-496-3884, aissa@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Matt Stroud, CME Group, 312-561-2269, matthew.stroud@cmegroup.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Related website:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Purdue University Center for Commercial Agriculture: http:\/\/purdue.edu\/commercialag<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

CME Group: http:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Photo Caption:<\/strong> Farmer sentiment hits lowest level in over two years. (Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer\/James Mintert) <\/p>\n\n\n\n

A publication-quality photo is available at https:\/\/news.uns.purdue.edu\/images\/2019\/may-barometer.jpg<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. and CHICAGO \u2013 Ag producer sentiment dropped to its lowest level since October 2016, erasing all improvements recorded following the November 2016 election. The Purdue University\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer, based on a mid-month survey of 400 agricultural producers across the U.S., declined 14 points in May to a reading of 101,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3572","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-media"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nFarmer sentiment hits lowest level in over two years<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/farmer-sentiment-hits-lowest-level-in-over-two-years\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Farmer sentiment hits lowest level in over two years\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. and CHICAGO \u2013 Ag producer sentiment dropped to its lowest level since October 2016, erasing all improvements recorded following the November 2016 election. 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