{"id":3949,"date":"2019-11-05T10:29:52","date_gmt":"2019-11-05T14:29:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/?p=3949"},"modified":"2019-11-05T15:49:23","modified_gmt":"2019-11-05T19:49:23","slug":"farmer-sentiment-on-trade-and-the-overall-ag-economy-improves-as-fall-harvest-gets-underway","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/farmer-sentiment-on-trade-and-the-overall-ag-economy-improves-as-fall-harvest-gets-underway\/","title":{"rendered":"Farmer sentiment on trade and the overall ag economy improves as fall harvest gets underway"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. and CHICAGO \u2013 The Purdue University\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer<\/a> improved 15 points to a reading of 136 in October. The upswing is attributable to 15-point increases in both of the barometer\u2019s sub-indices. The Index of Current Conditions <\/em>rose to a reading of 115 and the Index of Future Expectations <\/em>rose to a reading of 146. The barometer is based on a mid-month survey of 400 U.S. crop and livestock producers.<\/p>\n

\"Farmer

Farmer sentiment on trade and the overall ag economy improves as fall harvest gets underway. (Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer\/James Mintert)<\/p><\/div>\n

\u201cAlmost across the board, farmers were more optimistic about the agricultural economy in October,\u201d said James Mintert<\/a>, the barometer\u2019s principal investigator and director of Purdue University\u2019s Center for Commercial Agriculture. \u201cWhile the level of optimism among farmers is higher than earlier this year, the survey uncovered additional uncertainty related to trade agreements that are still being negotiated.\u201d<\/p>\n

In addition to the standard survey, questions were added to this month\u2019s barometer survey to gauge whether farmers feel these pending trade agreements are important to the U.S. agricultural economy.<\/p>\n

The U.S.-Mexico-Canada Trade Agreement is still waiting on approval by the U.S. Congress. When asked whether they felt that agreement was important to the U.S. agricultural economy, 96 percent of producers indicated it was either important or very important. However, only 55 percent expect it to be approved by Congress soon. At the same time, 97 percent of producers felt a recently announced trade deal with Japan was also important or very important to U.S. agriculture.<\/p>\n

Since last spring, Purdue researchers have been tracing producers\u2019 perceptions regarding the soybean trade dispute between the U.S. and China\u00ad–specifically, whether they think the dispute will be resolved soon and the outcome will ultimately benefit U.S. agriculture. In October, 51 percent of respondents said that an imminent resolution was unlikely, which is down from a reading of 59 percent in September and 71 percent in August. At the same time, 75 percent of farmers in the October survey said they expect the final outcome will ultimately prove beneficial to U.S. agriculture. October marked the fourth month in a row that over 70 percent of producers said they expected a beneficial outcome to the trade dispute.<\/p>\n

Farmers were more optimistic about farmland values increasing, and less inclined to think cash rental rates would decline, than in September. When asked to look ahead in the farmland market, both 12 months and 5 years into the future, more producers said they expect farmland values to increase. Meanwhile, just 14 percent of producers expect cash rental rates to decline in the upcoming year compared to 22 percent who thought a decline likely when surveyed in September. The Farm Capital Investment Index<\/em> also saw an uptick, rising 12 points in October, after a two-month decline, as farmers were more favorably disposed toward making large investments in their farming operations.<\/p>\n

Read the full October Ag Economy Barometer report at https:\/\/purdue.ag\/agbarometer<\/a>. This month\u2019s report asks farmers about their spring planting intentions and whether they anticipate USDA providing Market Facilitation Program (MFP) payments for the 2020 crop. The site also offers additional resources \u2013 such as past reports, charts and survey methodology \u2013 and a form to sign up for monthly barometer email updates and webinars. Each month, Purdue Center for Commercial Agricultural Director James Mintert provides a short video analysis of the barometer results, available at https:\/\/purdue.ag\/barometervideo<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The Ag Economy Barometer, Index of Current Conditions and Index of Future Expectations are available on the Bloomberg Terminal under the following ticker symbols: AGECBARO, AGECCURC and AGECFTEX.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

About the Purdue University Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/h2>\n

The Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/a> was founded in 2011 to provide professional development and educational programs for farmers. Housed within Purdue University\u2019s Department of Agricultural Economics, the center\u2019s faculty and staff develop and execute research and educational programs that address the different needs of managing in today\u2019s business environment.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

About CME Group<\/h2>\n

As the world\u2019s leading and most diverse derivatives marketplace, CME Group (www.cmegroup.com<\/a>) enables clients to trade futures, options, cash and OTC markets, optimize portfolios, and analyze data \u2013 empowering market participants worldwide to efficiently manage risk and capture opportunities. CME Group exchanges offer the widest range of global benchmark products across all major asset classes based on\u00a0interest rates<\/a>,\u00a0equity indexes<\/a>,\u00a0foreign exchange<\/a>,\u00a0energy<\/a>,\u00a0agricultural products<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0metals<\/a>.\u00a0 The company offers futures and options on futures trading through the CME Globex<\/a>\u00ae platform, fixed income trading via BrokerTec and foreign exchange trading on the EBS platform. In addition, it operates one of the world\u2019s leading central counterparty clearing providers, CME Clearing. With a range of pre- and post-trade products and services underpinning the entire lifecycle of a trade, CME Group also offers optimization and reconciliation services through TriOptima, and trade processing services through Traiana.<\/p>\n

CME Group, the Globe logo, CME, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Globex, and E-mini are trademarks of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc.\u00a0CBOT and Chicago Board of Trade are trademarks of Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, Inc.\u00a0NYMEX, New York Mercantile Exchange and ClearPort are trademarks of New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc.\u00a0COMEX is a trademark of Commodity Exchange, Inc. BrokerTec, EBS, TriOptima, and Traiana are trademarks of BrokerTec Europe LTD, EBS Group LTD, TriOptima AB, and Traiana, Inc., respectively. Dow Jones, Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and S&P are service and\/or trademarks of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC, Standard & Poor\u2019s Financial Services LLC and S&P\/Dow Jones Indices LLC, as the case may be, and have been licensed for use by Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc.\u00a0All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Writer:<\/strong> Kami Goodwin, 765-494-6999, kami@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n

Source:<\/strong> Jim Mintert, 765-494-7004, jmintert@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n

Media Contacts:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Aissa Good, Purdue University, 765-496-3884, aissa@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n

Matt Stroud, CME Group, 312-561-2269, matthew.stroud@cmegroup.com<\/a><\/p>\n

Related website:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Purdue University Center for Commercial Agriculture: http:\/\/purdue.edu\/commercialag<\/a><\/p>\n

CME Group: http:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Photo Caption:<\/strong>\u00a0Farmer sentiment on trade and the overall ag economy improves as fall harvest gets underway. <\/strong>(Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer\/James Mintert)<\/p>\n

A publication-quality photo is available at https:\/\/news.uns.purdue.edu\/images\/2019\/october-barometer.jpg<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. and CHICAGO \u2013 The Purdue University\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer improved 15 points to a reading of 136 in October. The upswing is attributable to 15-point increases in both of the barometer\u2019s sub-indices. 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