{"id":4502,"date":"2020-07-07T09:30:00","date_gmt":"2020-07-07T13:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/?p=4502"},"modified":"2020-07-06T14:13:35","modified_gmt":"2020-07-06T18:13:35","slug":"media-farmer-sentiment-rebounds-amidst-ongoing-covid-19-concerns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/media-farmer-sentiment-rebounds-amidst-ongoing-covid-19-concerns\/","title":{"rendered":"Farmer sentiment rebounds amidst ongoing COVID-19 concerns"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. and CHICAGO \u2014 Farmer sentiment improved in June for the second month in a row, rebounding from sharp declines that took place in both March and April, according to the Purdue University\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer<\/a>. The index was up 14 points from May to a reading of 117. The Ag Economy Barometer<\/em> is based on responses from 400 U.S. agricultural producers with this month\u2019s survey conducted from June 22-26, 2020.<\/p>\n

\"Farmer

Farmer sentiment rebounds amidst ongoing COVID-19 concerns.<\/strong> (Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer\/James Mintert)<\/p><\/div>\n

Ag producers became more optimistic about both their current and future farming operations compared to a month earlier. The Index of Current Conditions<\/i> rose 19 percent from May to a reading of 99, and the Index of Future Expectations <\/i>climbed 12 percent from May to a reading of 126. Over the last two months, farmers\u2019 perspective regarding making large investments in their farming operations improved markedly. The Farm Capital Investment Index<\/i> recovered to a reading of 60 in June, compared to just 50 a month earlier and a reading of 38 in April. Although much improved since bottoming out in April, the recovery still left the Farm Capital Investment Index<\/i> 12 points below the 2020 high established in February, before coronavirus impacted markets.<\/p>\n

\u201cThis month\u2019s survey was conducted after the USDA announced details regarding the Coronavirus Food Assistance Program (CFAP),\u201d said James Mintert<\/a>, the barometer\u2019s principal investigator and director of Purdue University\u2019s Center for Commercial Agriculture. \u201cA more favorable spring planting season combined with assistance from CFAP help explain this month\u2019s improvement in farmer sentiment, yet a majority of producers believe additional economic assistance will be needed in 2020.\u201d<\/p>\n

Despite their concerns, when asked about the impact of the virus on their farms\u2019 profitability, 64 percent of respondents indicated they were \u201cvery worried\u201d or \u201cfairly worried\u201d, down from 71 percent in May. The June survey provided the first opportunity to survey farmers after details about the CFAP were made available. Sixty percent of surveyed farmers indicated that CFAP \u201csomewhat\u201d (53 percent) or \u201ccompletely\u201d (7 percent) relieved their concerns about the impact of the virus on their 2020 farm income while just over one-fourth of respondents (26 percent) responded \u201cnot at all.\u201d However, 64 percent of farmers surveyed indicated they think it will be necessary for Congress to pass another bill to provide more economic assistance to U.S. farmers.<\/p>\n

When asked about their short-run outlook for land values, farmers\u2019 perspective improved over the last two months. Respondents expecting land values to decline over the next 12 months fell to 21 percent in June, down from 29 percent in May and 35 percent in April. The shift in perspective was even more pronounced when farmers were asked about farmland values in five years. Fifty-five percent of respondents said they expect farmland values to rise over the next five years, up from just 40 percent in May. Meanwhile, just 17 percent of farmers surveyed who rent farmland said they expect to ask their landlords to lower their cash rental payments in 2021 as a result of COVID-19, down from 27 percent that planned to do so back in May.<\/p>\n

Read the full Ag Economy Barometer report at https:\/\/purdue.ag\/agbarometer<\/a>. This month\u2019s report includes insight into farmers\u2019 profitability expectations, their plans for machinery purchases in the upcoming year and their concerns about the ethanol industry\u2019s future. The site also offers additional resources \u2013 such as past reports, charts and survey methodology \u2013 and a form to sign up for monthly barometer email updates and webinars. Each month, the Purdue Center for Commercial Agriculture provides a short video analysis of the barometer results, available at https:\/\/purdue.ag\/barometervideo<\/a>, and for even more information, check out the Purdue Commercial AgCast<\/em> podcast. It includes a detailed breakdown of each month\u2019s barometer, in addition to a discussion of recent agriculture news that impacts farmers. Available now at https:\/\/purdue.ag\/agcast<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The Ag Economy Barometer, Index of Current Conditions and Index of Future Expectations are available on the Bloomberg Terminal under the following ticker symbols: AGECBARO, AGECCURC and AGECFTEX.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

About the Purdue University Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/h2>\n

The Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/a> was founded in 2011 to provide professional development and educational programs for farmers. Housed within Purdue University\u2019s Department of Agricultural Economics, the center\u2019s faculty and staff develop and execute research and educational programs that address the different needs of managing in today\u2019s business environment.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

About CME Group<\/h2>\n

As the world\u2019s leading and most diverse derivatives marketplace, CME Group (www.cmegroup.com<\/a>) enables clients to trade futures, options, cash and OTC markets, optimize portfolios, and analyze data \u2013 empowering market participants worldwide to efficiently manage risk and capture opportunities. CME Group exchanges offer the widest range of global benchmark products across all major asset classes based on\u00a0interest rates<\/a>,\u00a0equity indexes<\/a>,\u00a0foreign exchange<\/a>,\u00a0energy<\/a>,\u00a0agricultural products<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0metals<\/a>.\u00a0 The company offers futures and options on futures trading through the CME Globex<\/a>\u00ae platform, fixed income trading via BrokerTec and foreign exchange trading on the EBS platform. In addition, it operates one of the world\u2019s leading central counterparty clearing providers, CME Clearing. With a range of pre- and post-trade products and services underpinning the entire lifecycle of a trade, CME Group also offers optimization and reconciliation services through TriOptima, and trade processing services through Traiana.<\/p>\n

CME Group, the Globe logo, CME, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Globex, and E-mini are trademarks of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc.\u00a0CBOT and Chicago Board of Trade are trademarks of Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, Inc.\u00a0NYMEX, New York Mercantile Exchange and ClearPort are trademarks of New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc.\u00a0COMEX is a trademark of Commodity Exchange, Inc. BrokerTec, EBS, TriOptima, and Traiana are trademarks of BrokerTec Europe LTD, EBS Group LTD, TriOptima AB, and Traiana, Inc., respectively. Dow Jones, Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and S&P are service and\/or trademarks of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC, Standard & Poor\u2019s Financial Services LLC and S&P\/Dow Jones Indices LLC, as the case may be, and have been licensed for use by Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc.\u00a0All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Writer:<\/strong> Torrie Sheridan, 765-496-6032, ward121@purdue.edu<\/a>
Source:<\/strong> Jim Mintert, 765-494-7004, jmintert@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n

Media Contacts:
<\/strong>Aissa Good, Purdue University, 765-496-3884, aissa@purdue.edu<\/a>
Matt Stroud, CME Group, 312-561-2269, matthew.stroud@cmegroup.com<\/a><\/p>\n

Related website:
<\/strong>Purdue University Center for Commercial Agriculture: http:\/\/purdue.edu\/commercialag <\/a>
CME Group: http:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Photo Caption:<\/strong> Farmer sentiment rebounds amidst ongoing COVID-19 concerns. (Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer\/James Mintert)<\/p>\n

A publication-quality photo is available at https:\/\/www.purdue.edu\/uns\/images\/2020\/barometer-june.jpg<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. and CHICAGO \u2014 Farmer sentiment improved in June for the second month in a row, rebounding from sharp declines that took place in both March and April, according to the Purdue University\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer. The index was up 14 points from May to a reading of 117. 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