{"id":4550,"date":"2020-08-04T09:30:00","date_gmt":"2020-08-04T13:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/?p=4550"},"modified":"2020-08-03T13:46:03","modified_gmt":"2020-08-03T17:46:03","slug":"media-ag-economy-barometer-stable-but-farmers-less-optimistic-about-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ag.purdue.edu\/commercialag\/ageconomybarometer\/media-ag-economy-barometer-stable-but-farmers-less-optimistic-about-future\/","title":{"rendered":"Ag Economy Barometer stable, but farmers less optimistic about future"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. and CHICAGO \u2014 Farmer sentiment was virtually unchanged in July in comparison to a month earlier, according to the Purdue University\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer<\/a>. The index rose just one point from June to a reading of 118, still 30 percent lower than in February before the pandemic began. The Ag Economy Barometer<\/em> is based on responses from 400 U.S. agricultural producers. This month\u2019s survey was conducted from July 20-24.<\/p>\n

\"Ag

Ag Economy Barometer stable, but farmers less optimistic about future.<\/strong> (Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer\/James Mintert)<\/p><\/div>\n

Although there was little change in the July barometer, producers\u2019 perspective on current versus future conditions shifted. The Index of Current Conditions<\/i> rose 12 points from June to a reading of 111, and the Index of Future Expectations <\/i>fell five points to a reading of 121. Unchanged from June but nine points lower than in May, 56 percent of producers reported they plan to reduce their farm machinery purchases compared to a year ago. Thirty-eight percent of producers reported they plan to keep machinery purchases about the same as last year, which was also unchanged from June but seven points higher than in May. The Farm Capital Investment Index<\/i> was also unchanged from June standing at a reading of 60, but noticeably stronger than May\u2019s index reading of 50.<\/p>\n

\u201cAlthough overall farmer sentiment in July did not change much compared to June, sentiment was still much weaker than in Februrary before the impact of coronavirus hit,\u201d said James Mintert<\/a>, the barometer\u2019s principal investigator and director of Purdue University\u2019s Center for Commercial Agriculture. \u201cIn July, farmers indicated they were a bit less concerned about the current economic situation on their farms than earlier this spring, but they are less optimistic about the future, perhaps as a result of the recent resurgence in COVID-19 cases. Still, two-thirds of \u00a0producers responding to this month\u2019s survey said they believe Congress should provide additional economic assistance to farmers in 2020 to help offset the pandemic\u2019s impact on agriculture.\u201d<\/p>\n

Over half of farmers responding to the July survey said they were less likely to attend in-person educational events in 2020 as a result of COVID-19 concerns. When asked what their top information source would be in lieu of attending in-person events, 36 percent chose farm magazines, 19 percent chose online webinars, 17 percent chose farm radio and 17 percent chose websites. Direct emails and podcasts were far less popular as a top information source with just eight and three percent of producers choosing these options, respectively. \u00a0<\/p>\n

When asked about their short-term outlook for land values, farmers\u2019 perspective improved with 16 percent saying they expect farmland values to rise over the next 12 months compared to ten percent back in June. However, when asked about farmland values in five years, farmers were somewhat less optimistic than they were in June, with 48 percent saying they expect values to rise over the next five years compared to 55 percent in the previous survey.<\/p>\n

Read the full Ag Economy Barometer report at https:\/\/purdue.ag\/agbarometer<\/a>. This month\u2019s report includes insight into how farmers are conducting business as a result of COVID-19 and producers\u2019 use of marketing advisors to manage risk. The site also offers additional resources \u2013 such as past reports, charts and survey methodology \u2013 and a form to sign up for monthly barometer email updates and webinars. Each month, the Purdue Center for Commercial Agriculture provides a short video analysis of the barometer results, available at https:\/\/purdue.ag\/barometervideo<\/a>, and for even more information, check out the Purdue Commercial AgCast<\/em> podcast. It includes a detailed breakdown of each month\u2019s barometer, in addition to a discussion of recent agricultural news that impacts farmers. Available now at https:\/\/purdue.ag\/agcast<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The Ag Economy Barometer, Index of Current Conditions and Index of Future Expectations are available on the Bloomberg Terminal under the following ticker symbols: AGECBARO, AGECCURC and AGECFTEX.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

About the Purdue University Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/h2>\n

The Center for Commercial Agriculture<\/a> was founded in 2011 to provide professional development and educational programs for farmers. Housed within Purdue University\u2019s Department of Agricultural Economics, the center\u2019s faculty and staff develop and execute research and educational programs that address the different needs of managing in today\u2019s business environment.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

About CME Group<\/h2>\n

As the world\u2019s leading and most diverse derivatives marketplace, CME Group (www.cmegroup.com<\/a>) enables clients to trade futures, options, cash and OTC markets, optimize portfolios, and analyze data \u2013 empowering market participants worldwide to efficiently manage risk and capture opportunities. CME Group exchanges offer the widest range of global benchmark products across all major asset classes based on\u00a0interest rates<\/a>,\u00a0equity indexes<\/a>,\u00a0foreign exchange<\/a>,\u00a0energy<\/a>,\u00a0agricultural products<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0metals<\/a>.\u00a0 The company offers futures and options on futures trading through the CME Globex<\/a>\u00ae platform, fixed income trading via BrokerTec and foreign exchange trading on the EBS platform. In addition, it operates one of the world\u2019s leading central counterparty clearing providers, CME Clearing. With a range of pre- and post-trade products and services underpinning the entire lifecycle of a trade, CME Group also offers optimization and reconciliation services through TriOptima, and trade processing services through Traiana.<\/p>\n

CME Group, the Globe logo, CME, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Globex, and E-mini are trademarks of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc.\u00a0CBOT and Chicago Board of Trade are trademarks of Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, Inc.\u00a0NYMEX, New York Mercantile Exchange and ClearPort are trademarks of New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc.\u00a0COMEX is a trademark of Commodity Exchange, Inc. BrokerTec, EBS, TriOptima, and Traiana are trademarks of BrokerTec Europe LTD, EBS Group LTD, TriOptima AB, and Traiana, Inc., respectively. Dow Jones, Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and S&P are service and\/or trademarks of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC, Standard & Poor\u2019s Financial Services LLC and S&P\/Dow Jones Indices LLC, as the case may be, and have been licensed for use by Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc.\u00a0All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Writer:<\/strong> Torrie Sheridan, 765-496-6032, ward121@purdue.edu<\/a>
Source:<\/strong> James Mintert, 765-494-7004, jmintert@purdue.edu<\/a><\/p>\n

Media Contacts:
<\/strong>Aissa Good, Purdue University, 765-496-3884, aissa@purdue.edu<\/a>
Dana Schmidt, CME Group, 312-872-5443, dana.schmidt@cmegroup.com<\/a><\/p>\n

Related website:
<\/strong>Purdue University Center for Commercial Agriculture: http:\/\/purdue.edu\/commercialag <\/a>
CME Group: http:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Photo Caption:<\/strong> Farmer sentiment rebounds amidst ongoing COVID-19 concerns. (Purdue\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer\/James Mintert)<\/p>\n

A publication-quality photo is available at https:\/\/www.purdue.edu\/uns\/images\/2020\/mintert-julybarometer.jpg<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. and CHICAGO \u2014 Farmer sentiment was virtually unchanged in July in comparison to a month earlier, according to the Purdue University\/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer. The index rose just one point from June to a reading of 118, still 30 percent lower than in February before the pandemic began. 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