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Thomas W Hertel

Agricultural Economics 

  • Distinguished Professor of Agriculture
Krannert Room 647

AAEA Presidential Address

Professor Hertel is Distinguished Professor of Agricultural Economics at Purdue University, where his research focuses on the economy-wide impacts of global trade and environmental policies.

Dr. Hertel is a Fellow, and Past-President, of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (AAEA). He is also the founder and Executive Director of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) which now encompasses more than 10,000 researchers in 150 countries around the world ( This Project maintains a global economic data base and an applied general equilibrium modeling framework which are documented in the book: Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and Applications, edited by Dr. Hertel, and published by Cambridge University Press in 1997.

Professor Hertel’s most recent research has focused on the impacts of climate change and mitigation policies on global land use and poverty. During the 2011-12 year he is on leave at Stanford University, where he is engaged in inter-disciplinary research on these topics.

Previously, Professor Hertel has conducted extensive research on the impacts of multilateral trade agreements, including the linkages between global trade policies and poverty in developing countries. His book on the poverty impacts of a WTO agreement (co-edited with Alan Winters) received the AAEA Quality of Communication award. Other AAEA awards include: Distinguished Policy Contribution and Outstanding Journal Article.

Awards & Honors

(2015) Science Advisory Board. US-EPA.

Selected Publications

Ahmed, S., Diffenbaugh, N., Hertel, T., & Martin, W. (2012). Agriculture and Trade Opportunities for Tanzania: Past Volatility and Future Climate Change. Review of Development Economics, 16(3), 429-447. Retrieved from

Hertel, T., Walmsley, T., & Ianchovichina, E. (2012). Assessing the Impact of China's WTO Accession on Investment - Chapter 8. In Dynamic Modeling and Applications for Global Economic Analysis (1, 8:205-234). New York: Cambridge University Press.

Lobell, D., Baldos, U., & Hertel, T. (in press). Climate Adaptation as Mitigation: The Case of Agricultural Investments. Environmental Research Letters.

Hertel, T., Steinbuks, J., & Baldos, U. (in press). Competition for Land in the Global Bioeconomy. Agricultural Economics.

Hertel, T., Walmsley, T., & Itakura, K. (2012). Dynamic Effects of the 'New-Age' Free Trade Agreement between Japan and Singapore - Chapter 9. In Dynamic Modeling and Applications for Global Economic Analysis (1, 9:235-268). New York: Cambridge University Press.

Steinbuks, J., & Hertel, T. (in press). Energy prices will plan an important role in determining global land use in the twenty first century. Environmental Research Letters.

Golub, A., & Hertel, T. (2012). Globabl Economic Integration and Land Use Change - Chapter 11. In Dynamic Modeling and Applications for Global Economic Analysis (1, 11:290-311). New York: Cambridge University Press.

Hertel, T. (2012). Global Applied General Equilibrium Analysis using the GTAP Framework. In The Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling - Chapter 12 (1B, 12:815-876). Elsevier Publishers.

Golub, A., Henderson, B., Hertel, T., Gerber, P., Rose, S., & Sohngen, B. (2012). Global Climate Policy Impacts on Livestock, Land Use, Livelihoods and Food Security. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 1. Retrieved from

Diffenbaugh, N., Hertel, T., Scherer, M., & Verma, M. (2012). Implications of Climate Volatility for Agricultural Commodity Markets under Alternative Energy Futures. Nature Climate Change, 10(1038/NCLIMATE1491).