1991-06 PAER

June 15, 1991

  • Fixing Crop Insurance: Farmer Responses and Policy Implications
  • Live Hog Futures Lack Forecast Accuracy
  • Crop Intensification vs. Production of a New Crop to Raise Farm Income?
  • Reforms on Private Polish Farms: Can the Five-Acre Family Farm Survive?

Articles in this Publication:

Reforms on Private Polish Farms: Can the Five-Acre Family Farm Survive?

Crop Intensification vs. Production Of A New Crop To Raise Farm Income?

Live Hog Futures Lack Forecast Accuracy

Fixing Crop Insurance: Farmer Responses and Policy Implications

Latest Articles:

The March 2026 CPI Report: What It Tells Us About the Iran Conflict’s Inflation Footprint — And What Is Still Coming

April 13, 2026

The March 2026 CPI report confirms what the structural analysis predicted: the Iran Conflict’s initial consumer price impact is concentrated in motor fuels, which respond to crude oil prices with almost no lag. The 0.9 percent monthly CPI increase is large by recent standards — the largest monthly increase since mid-2022, but it is not yet the broad-based food and goods inflation that a prolonged Strait of Hormuz disruption will eventually produce.

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The Iran Conflict and Global Food Security: Why the Burden Falls Hardest on the World’s Most Vulnerable

March 31, 2026

When an energy shock ripples out from the Persian Gulf, the headlines focus on oil prices, gasoline costs, implications for value chains and the profit margins of U.S. producers.

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The Iran Conflict and Consumer Food Prices: A Broad but Lagged and Sticky Shock

March 31, 2026

The initial public reaction to an oil price shock reaching $110 per barrel is often to project near-immediate, dramatic increases in grocery prices. This instinct overstates the direct farm-to-retail transmission channel in a straightforward and measurable way. The USDA Economic Research Service tracks how each dollar of consumer food spending is distributed across the supply chain in its Food Dollar Series. The picture it reveals is sobering for those who expect large and rapid retail food price responses driven purely by higher farm input costs.

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