2019-12 PAER: Agricultural Outlook for 2020

December 18, 2019

Welcome to our annual outlook issue of the Purdue Ag Econ Report (PAER), where we look back at last year and ahead at economic conditions for agriculture in 2020.

The past year brought a number of challenges for Indiana agriculture, weather being at the top of the list. Rain and flooding impacted the ability to get into fields, and led to difficult decisions about whether to delay planting or take prevented planting insurance. These delays then led to a late harvest. While weather had significant effects in different parts of the state; nationwide, there were only modest improvements in commodity prices .

Looking ahead, there continues to be uncertainty in trade policy and the macroeconomic environment. African Swine Fever in China is having, and will likely continue to have, major impacts in global markets. As a result of this and other factors, global food prices are on the rise, although domestic food price inflation is projected to remain low.

In the following PAER articles, Agricultural Economics Faculty at Purdue provide insight on these and other issues, including land values, rental rates, and agricultural policy.

Jayson Lusk, Distinguished Professor and Head of the Department of Agricultural Economics

Articles in this Publication:

Our Long, Slow, Steady Expansion Should Continue

Trade and trade policy outlook for 2020

2020 Outlook: Farm Policy

Food Price Inflation is on the Rise Globally but Steady at Home

Farmland Market Outlook for 2020

Increase in Indiana cash rent seems unlikely in 2020

More milk, consolidation continues, but still an improved 2020 price outlook

2020 Purdue Crop Cost & Return Guide

2020 Corn Price Outlook

2020 Soybean Price Outlook

Latest Articles:

Does a higher standard deduction decrease cash donations and volunteering?

October 24, 2024

Tax policy shapes individuals’ incentives to give to charities. In fact, taxpayers can deduct charitable cash contributions as an itemized deduction, which decreases their taxable income and leads to a lower tax bill. Itemizing deductions, however, is not convenient for all taxpayers. Moreover, the standard deduction is the better option for those whose total itemized deductions for eligible expenses are lower than the current standard deduction. Taxpayers choose between the standard deduction and itemized deductions based on which yields the lower amount of taxable income and, hence, tax liability.

READ MORE

Farmland Prices Increase Despite Downward Pressure

August 9, 2024

Indiana farmland prices reached record highs in 2024, with top-quality land averaging $14,392 per acre, a 4.8% increase from 2023, according to the Purdue Farmland Value and Cash Rent Survey. Regional variations and market forces like high interest rates and low land supply influenced the market, while long-term projections suggest continued modest growth. Transition land saw a significant 21.6% rise, while recreational land values dipped slightly.

READ MORE

Trends in Farmland Price to Rent Ratios in Indiana, 2024

August 9, 2024

Farmland prices in west central Indiana increased slightly in 2024 (0.2%) and are 19.7% above the previous peak in 2014. Compared to the farmland price in 2007, current farmland prices in west central Indiana are 187% higher. Farmland prices are influenced by many factors, including net income, growth in earnings, crop and livestock prices, interest rates, alternative investment returns, inflation, liquidity, agricultural policy, and energy policy. Cash rent, which is influenced by net return to land, along with interest rates, is often referred to as a fundamental factor impacting farmland prices.

READ MORE

Delivered right to your inbox

The Purdue Agricultural Economics Report is a quarterly publication written by faculty and staff from the Department Agricultural Economics at Purdue University.

By joining this mailing list, you will receive an email when a new publication is released. This mailing list is kept solely for the purpose of sharing the report and is not used for any other purposes.