Outlook 2024

January 16, 2024

Welcome to the PAER Outlook 2024 issue! As is the tradition, we ask department specialists to spend time thinking about key issues in their field and consider how these have impacted outcomes over the past year and may continue to go forward. We continue to call the issue an “Outlook” to recognize the department’s tradition of delivering programming at the start of the year. This aims to educate stakeholders who may benefit from knowledge in key mission areas of Purdue Ag Econ.

Much of what used to be “Outlook” programming has now transitioned to various center units in the department. In this issue, we feature contributions from faculty members who are prominent leaders in each unit, including Commercial Agriculture, Food and Agribusiness, Food Demand Analysis and Sustainability, Global Trade Analysis, and Regional Development. The PAER editors strongly recommend that readers follow the activities of these centers throughout the year.

The articles in this issue cover our traditional farm economy topics of land values, farm credit, farm costs and return estimates, and dairy markets. Additionally, there are articles addressing the broader economy with dedicated sections on the national economic outlook, trade, policy and food prices. This year we are fortunate to have spotlight topics that discuss key applied research findings from the department in the areas of energy (biofuels policy), rural development (generation gap) and agricultural trade (war in Ukraine).

Altogether, the issue provides a snapshot of the many departmental efforts in service of our land-grant mission, and we hope readers find it engaging and useful.

Roman Keeney, Associate Professor, Agricultural Economics and Co-editor of Purdue Agricultural Economics Report

Articles in this Publication:

The Outlook for the U.S. Economy in 2024

Trade and trade policy outlook, 2024

Will 2024 bring a new Farm Bill?

Impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war on global agriculture: spillover effects and policy responses

NCR-Stat: Generational Gap in Rural North Central Region

Biofuel production & policy: Contributions to economic & environmental analyses and policy decision

Food Prices

What To Watch in Dairy Markets in 2024?

2024 Farmland and Cash Rent Outlook

2024 Agricultural Credit Outlook

2024 Purdue Crop Cost & Return Guide

Latest Articles:

Does a higher standard deduction decrease cash donations and volunteering?

October 24, 2024

Tax policy shapes individuals’ incentives to give to charities. In fact, taxpayers can deduct charitable cash contributions as an itemized deduction, which decreases their taxable income and leads to a lower tax bill. Itemizing deductions, however, is not convenient for all taxpayers. Moreover, the standard deduction is the better option for those whose total itemized deductions for eligible expenses are lower than the current standard deduction. Taxpayers choose between the standard deduction and itemized deductions based on which yields the lower amount of taxable income and, hence, tax liability.

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Farmland Prices Increase Despite Downward Pressure

August 9, 2024

Indiana farmland prices reached record highs in 2024, with top-quality land averaging $14,392 per acre, a 4.8% increase from 2023, according to the Purdue Farmland Value and Cash Rent Survey. Regional variations and market forces like high interest rates and low land supply influenced the market, while long-term projections suggest continued modest growth. Transition land saw a significant 21.6% rise, while recreational land values dipped slightly.

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Trends in Farmland Price to Rent Ratios in Indiana, 2024

August 9, 2024

Farmland prices in west central Indiana increased slightly in 2024 (0.2%) and are 19.7% above the previous peak in 2014. Compared to the farmland price in 2007, current farmland prices in west central Indiana are 187% higher. Farmland prices are influenced by many factors, including net income, growth in earnings, crop and livestock prices, interest rates, alternative investment returns, inflation, liquidity, agricultural policy, and energy policy. Cash rent, which is influenced by net return to land, along with interest rates, is often referred to as a fundamental factor impacting farmland prices.

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The Purdue Agricultural Economics Report is a quarterly publication written by faculty and staff from the Department Agricultural Economics at Purdue University.

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