Outlook 2024

January 16, 2024

Welcome to the PAER Outlook 2024 issue! As is the tradition, we ask department specialists to spend time thinking about key issues in their field and consider how these have impacted outcomes over the past year and may continue to go forward. We continue to call the issue an “Outlook” to recognize the department’s tradition of delivering programming at the start of the year. This aims to educate stakeholders who may benefit from knowledge in key mission areas of Purdue Ag Econ.

Much of what used to be “Outlook” programming has now transitioned to various center units in the department. In this issue, we feature contributions from faculty members who are prominent leaders in each unit, including Commercial Agriculture, Food and Agribusiness, Food Demand Analysis and Sustainability, Global Trade Analysis, and Regional Development. The PAER editors strongly recommend that readers follow the activities of these centers throughout the year.

The articles in this issue cover our traditional farm economy topics of land values, farm credit, farm costs and return estimates, and dairy markets. Additionally, there are articles addressing the broader economy with dedicated sections on the national economic outlook, trade, policy and food prices. This year we are fortunate to have spotlight topics that discuss key applied research findings from the department in the areas of energy (biofuels policy), rural development (generation gap) and agricultural trade (war in Ukraine).

Altogether, the issue provides a snapshot of the many departmental efforts in service of our land-grant mission, and we hope readers find it engaging and useful.

Roman Keeney, Associate Professor, Agricultural Economics and Co-editor of Purdue Agricultural Economics Report

Articles in this Publication:

The Outlook for the U.S. Economy in 2024

Trade and trade policy outlook, 2024

Will 2024 bring a new Farm Bill?

Impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war on global agriculture: spillover effects and policy responses

NCR-Stat: Generational Gap in Rural North Central Region

Biofuel production & policy: Contributions to economic & environmental analyses and policy decision

Food Prices

What To Watch in Dairy Markets in 2024?

2024 Farmland and Cash Rent Outlook

2024 Agricultural Credit Outlook

2024 Purdue Crop Cost & Return Guide

Latest Articles:

Farmland Prices Increase Despite Downward Pressure

August 19, 2025

Indiana farmland values hit new record highs in 2025 despite regional declines, with development demand and recreational land gains offsetting downward pressure from lower farm incomes, weaker crop prices, and interest rates.

READ MORE

Are farmland price expectations “wrong”? It depends how you ask.

August 19, 2025

Analysis of the Purdue Farmland Values and Cash Rents Survey shows price expectations often seem inaccurate because they’re assumed to be averages—when many respondents report the most likely price. Viewed this way, expectations are rational in most cases, making them more useful for producers and investors.

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Is farmland a good investment? Comparing risk and returns to other asset classes

August 19, 2025

Indiana farmland offers returns above bonds but below equities, with less volatility than stocks. Adding cash rents boosts returns, and its low correlation with equities and inverse correlation with bonds make it a strong portfolio diversifier.

READ MORE

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