Outlook 2024

January 16, 2024

Welcome to the PAER Outlook 2024 issue! As is the tradition, we ask department specialists to spend time thinking about key issues in their field and consider how these have impacted outcomes over the past year and may continue to go forward. We continue to call the issue an “Outlook” to recognize the department’s tradition of delivering programming at the start of the year. This aims to educate stakeholders who may benefit from knowledge in key mission areas of Purdue Ag Econ.

Much of what used to be “Outlook” programming has now transitioned to various center units in the department. In this issue, we feature contributions from faculty members who are prominent leaders in each unit, including Commercial Agriculture, Food and Agribusiness, Food Demand Analysis and Sustainability, Global Trade Analysis, and Regional Development. The PAER editors strongly recommend that readers follow the activities of these centers throughout the year.

The articles in this issue cover our traditional farm economy topics of land values, farm credit, farm costs and return estimates, and dairy markets. Additionally, there are articles addressing the broader economy with dedicated sections on the national economic outlook, trade, policy and food prices. This year we are fortunate to have spotlight topics that discuss key applied research findings from the department in the areas of energy (biofuels policy), rural development (generation gap) and agricultural trade (war in Ukraine).

Altogether, the issue provides a snapshot of the many departmental efforts in service of our land-grant mission, and we hope readers find it engaging and useful.

Roman Keeney, Associate Professor, Agricultural Economics and Co-editor of Purdue Agricultural Economics Report

Articles in this Publication:

The Outlook for the U.S. Economy in 2024

Trade and trade policy outlook, 2024

Will 2024 bring a new Farm Bill?

Impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war on global agriculture: spillover effects and policy responses

NCR-Stat: Generational Gap in Rural North Central Region

Biofuel production & policy: Contributions to economic & environmental analyses and policy decision

Food Prices

What To Watch in Dairy Markets in 2024?

2024 Farmland and Cash Rent Outlook

2024 Agricultural Credit Outlook

2024 Purdue Crop Cost & Return Guide

Latest Articles:

The April 2026 CPI and PPI Reports: The Food Price Pipeline Is Opening Purchasing Power Under Pressure for Second Consecutive Month

May 18, 2026

The conflict’s direct impact on farm profitability in the 2026 crop year is likely to be modest and uneven. A more significant farm-level reckoning is coming in 2027 if Strait of Hormuz restrictions persist into the fall 2026 input purchasing and spring 2027 planting cycles.

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Food Prices – 2026

May 15, 2026

Hubbell and Balagtas examine data from 2025 and explain the factors that drove changes to food prices. Looking forward, they discuss projections for food prices in 2026 and the policies and events that will affect them.

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Do Federal Medicaid Outlays Cause Redistribution Across U.S. Counties? Evidence from the ACA

May 15, 2026

Medicaid expansion represents a major injection of federal dollars into local economies. This new brief from Montenovo highlights research on the role of ACA expansion in directing federal funds toward high-need, low-income U.S. counties.

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