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Pork Industry – A Little Profit for 2016

The outlook for the pork industry has turned somewhat more optimistic in recent weeks. The sources of that optimism include a $2 to $4 increase in spring and summer lean hog futures prices since the first of the year and slightly lower new-crop soybean meal prices. A bit higher hog prices and a little lower cost add to the potential for a profitable year.

Leverage and Interest Rate Risk

Financial risk is incurred when a farm borrows money to purchase assets or operate the farm. Financial risk is caused by uncertainty pertaining to interest rates, lending relationships, changes in market value of assets used as collateral, and cash flow used to repay debt.

Leverage and Financial Risk

Balancing Business and Financial Risk

Total risk can be divided into two major categories: business risk and financial risk. Business risk involves the variability of the farm’s return to assets. Business risk arises from variability in production levels (e.g., yield variability), output prices (e.g., corn price variability), and input prices (e.g., fertilizer price variability), as well as changes in legal aspects of the business and personnel.

Reducing Corn Production Costs in 2016

Recorded February 1, 2016 | A discussion on research based fertilizer ane seeding rate recommendations to reduce corn production costs.

The Financial Downturn: Back to the Future (Reversion to the Mean)

Mike Boehlje presents his Distinguished Professor Seminar on the Purdue campus. Mike discusses the downturn in the U.S. agriculture sector, applied research he has conducted with Purdue colleagues related to this topic and programming provided by Purdue.

Pork Industry Faces Tight Margin Year

Pork producers in 2016 are expected to experience another year of tight margins similar to the year just completed. Pork production is expected to rise by about one percent, but beef production will rise by four percent and poultry by about three percent.

Crop Margins in a Boom-Moderation Price Cycle

A glance at a chart of commodity prices over say 100 or more years reveals periods of surging prices followed by a period of moderation in prices. Once prices moderate, they may stay relatively low for an extended time. Some have observed that this total cycle may be around 30 years, with the boom-moderation phase lasting 12 to 15 years.

Long-Term Cash Rent Decisions Using A Cash Rent Decision Tool

Recorded December 18, 2015 | A demonstration of use of a cash rent spreadsheet tool to calculate breakeven cash rents, compare the breakeven cash rent to local market rents, compute the market rate premium (if any) above the breakeven rate and the impact paying premiums could have on a farm’s liquidity over the course of the next five years.

International Benchmarks for Soybean Production (2015)

This paper examines the competitiveness of soybean production for important international soybean regions using 2012 to 2014 data from the agribenchmark network. This network collects data on beef, cash crops, dairy, pigs and poultry, horticulture, and organic products for 32 countries.

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