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Podcast thumbnail with corn growing next to rice paddy. Reads Delta Lessons, What MidWest Farmers Can Learn

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AgCast 212: Inside the Research Center Driving U.S. Rice Production, Lessons from the Delta, Part 4

The Northeast Rice Research and Extension Center plays a critical role in supporting U.S. rice production, located in a region responsible for a large share of national output. This episode explores how research, water management, and production systems come together to support rice farming in the Mississippi Delta, highlighting the complexity and intensity of the system.

March 18, 2026

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Figure 1. Production Costs and Gross Revenue for Soybeans in Mato Grosso, Brazil

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Brazil Heads for a Record Soybean Harvest as Farm Margins Approach Breakeven

Brazil is projected to produce a record 6.5 billion bushels of soybeans in the 2025-26 crop season, but farm margins are expected to fall to their lowest level in nearly two decades. Lower soybean prices, elevated production costs, and weak port premiums are compressing profitability for Brazilian farmers, raising questions about whether the country’s rapid soybean acreage expansion can continue.

March 16, 2026

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Figure 1. Corn Basis, May Contract for Southwestern Indiana

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Indiana and Ohio Set the Benchmark for Soybean and Corn Basis, Respectively

Corn basis across the Eastern Corn Belt has remained relatively stable compared to last month, but regional differences remain significant. Ohio currently sets the benchmark for corn basis, with positive levels in parts of the state, while Iowa continues to post the weakest levels. Soybean basis has been more volatile, with strengthening through late February followed by recent declines across most districts. Indiana continues to lead the region with the strongest soybean basis levels. While historical patterns suggest basis should strengthen into spring, recent week-to-week volatility highlights the importance of monitoring local markets closely. Producers can track conditions using Purdue’s Crop Basis Tool.

March 13, 2026

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Michael Langemeier in a Purdue Commercial AgBrief clip - short video series from the Purdue Center for Commercial Agriculture. Crop vs. Livestock

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Crop vs. Livestock Confidence: Why the Sentiment Gap Is Growing

February’s Ag Economy Barometer shows livestock producer sentiment nearly 40 points higher than crop producers, reflecting stronger current margins. In this Purdue Commercial AgBrief, Michael Langemeier explains the confidence gap, investment outlook, and why crop and livestock farms still share similar long-term growth and succession plans.

March 12, 2026

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Podcast thumbnail with corn growing next to rice paddy. Reads Delta Lessons, What MidWest Farmers Can Learn

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AgCast 211: How Investors Are Buying Farmland, Lessons from the Delta, Part 3

Farmland investment platforms are creating new ways for investors to participate in agricultural land ownership. In this third episode of the Lessons From the Delta series, Colson Tester of AcreTrader explains how farmland opportunities are sourced, evaluated, and structured while local farmers continue operating the land.

March 11, 2026

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Michael Langemeier in a Purdue Commercial AgBrief clip - short video series from the Purdue Center for Commercial Agriculture.

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Farmer Confidence Edges Higher, But Future Expectations Fall

Farmer confidence continues to weaken as producers face tightening margins and growing uncertainty about the future. In this Purdue Commercial AgBrief, Michael Langemeier explains what the latest Ag Economy Barometer survey reveals about financial stress, capital investment plans, and how producers are adjusting expectations for the years ahead.

March 6, 2026

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Figure 1. What is a reasonable annual growth rate expectation you have for your farm over the next 5 years?

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Producer Sentiment, Farm Growth, and Transition Planning

The February 2026 Ag Economy Barometer reveals a sharp divergence in sentiment between crop and livestock producers, with livestock farms reporting substantially stronger confidence. Despite differences in current outlook and capital investment sentiment, long-term growth expectations and transition planning remain similar across farm types, highlighting continued focus on expansion and generational transfer.

March 5, 2026

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Video podcast thumbnail with Ag Economy Barometer dial at 116 and reads Purdue Commercial AgCast, Episode 210.

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AgCast 210: Producer Sentiment Stabilizes, But Future Expectations Slip

In this episode of Purdue Commercial AgCast, Joana Colussi and Michael Langemeier discuss the February 2026 Purdue University–CME Group Ag Economy Barometer results. They share insights on the growing divide between crop and livestock sentiment, capital investment hesitation, farmland value expectations, farm growth trends, and what these signals mean for 2026 decision-making.

March 4, 2026

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Purdue/CME Group Ag Econom­­­y Barometer Index Chart, October 2015-February 2026.

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Farmer Sentiment Rebounds, but Future Expectations Continue to Slide

Farmer sentiment improved in February as the Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer Index rose from 113 points in January to 116. The Current Conditions Index increased by 11 points, while the Future Expectations Index dropped 1 point. Although concerns about agricultural exports moderated somewhat from the previous month, they are still higher than those expressed in December. In addition, the percentage of respondents who think the U.S. is headed in the “right direction” declined for the second month in a row.

March 3, 2026

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Joana Colussi in a Purdue Commercial AgBrief clip - short video series from the Purdue Center for Commercial Agriculture.

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Why Brazil’s Soybean Costs Are Lower Than in the U.S.

Brazil has gained a significant cost advantage in global soybean production — and farm-level data helps explain why. In this Purdue Commercial AgBrief, Joana Colussi compares soybean production costs, revenues, and profitability between a typical farm in Iowa and one in Mato Grosso, Brazil using standardized agri benchmark data from 2020–2024.

February 27, 2026

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Podcast thumbnail with corn growing next to rice paddy. Reads Delta Lessons, What MidWest Farmers Can Learn

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Lessons From the Delta, Part 2: Land Values, Capital Markets, and the Business of Rice

In Part 2 of the Lessons From the Delta series, Chad Fiechter and Todd Kuethe speak with Aaron Shew about farmland valuation, land market transparency, and rice payment systems. The discussion explores how limited sales data, capital intensity, and milling economics shape risk and long-term farm business decisions.

February 25, 2026

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Figure 2. Gross Revenue and Production Costs for Soybeans, 2020-2024 Source: Computed by the authors using the Agri Benchmark Network database

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U.S. and Brazil Soybean Competitiveness: Farm-Level Costs and Returns

This article compares farm-level soybean costs and profitability in Iowa and Mato Grosso from 2020–2024. Brazilian farms face higher direct input costs, while U.S. farms carry heavier land-related overhead. Structural cost differences help explain Brazil’s sustained profitability and ongoing competitiveness in global soybean markets.

February 23, 2026

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Figure 1. Corn Basis, May Contract for Central Ohio

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Corn Basis is Stable Across the Eastern Corn Belt, but Soybean Basis Varies

Corn basis remains steady across much of the Eastern Corn Belt as markets transition to May futures contracts, with particularly strong local basis levels in central Ohio and northern Indiana. Meanwhile, soybean basis shows significantly more volatility, with widening spreads across districts and notable weakness in Iowa. Ethanol plants continue to offer firm premiums relative to local delivery points, while soybean crush plant basis has softened in several states. Producers can use the Purdue Center for Commercial Agriculture’s Crop Basis Tool to compare local ethanol and crush plant basis levels and evaluate current pricing opportunities against historical averages.

February 20, 2026

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Valuing Sweat Equity and Adding a Person to the Farm, Ag Engage Conference

Michael Langemeier presented at the Ag Engage Conference in Bloomington on February 19, 2026, on valuing sweat equity and adding a person to the farm.

February 19, 2026

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Podcast thumbnail with corn growing next to rice paddy. Reads Delta Lessons, What MidWest Farmers Can Learn

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Lessons From the Delta, Part 1: What Midwestern Farmers Can Learn From Southern Agriculture

In this episode of the Purdue Commercial AgCast, we launch a new mini-series: Lessons From the Delta. After traveling to Arkansas and the Mississippi Delta region, Chad Fiechter and Todd Kuethe share what stood out most about crop diversity, irrigation intensity, farm structure, and regional economics.

February 18, 2026

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Figure 3. Efficiency Ratios, 1960-2026

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USDA’s First Forecast of the 2026 U.S. Farm Balance Sheet

USDA’s first 2026 Farm Income and Wealth Statistics release provides an early look at the U.S. farm balance sheet heading into the next production cycle. Farm assets and equity are projected to grow at the slowest pace since 2019–2020, while farm debt accumulation accelerates for the third time in four years. Non-real estate assets are expected to decline, driven by reductions in livestock and crop inventories, even as machinery investment continues rising. Key efficiency ratios remain near historic lows, signaling tighter production returns relative to asset values.

February 16, 2026

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