November 20, 2020

Forecasting Corn & Soybean Basis

by Nathanael Thompson and James Mintert

One of the keys to improving your corn and soybean marketing skills is learning how to forecast basis. In this video you’ll learn how to use the Purdue Center for Commercial Agriculture’s Crop Basis Tool to help you generate corn and soybean basis forecasts for your local market region. Research results focused on identifying the optimal moving average forecasting techniques (e.g., 2- vs. 3-year moving averages of basis in your market region) for corn and soybean basis are shared in the video. Additionally, Purdue ag economists Nathan Thompson and James Mintert discuss how to modify your local basis forecasts based on recent basis data for various forecast horizons.

TEAM LINKS:

PART OF A SERIES:

RELATED RESOURCES

Trends in General Inflation and Farm Input Prices

May 9, 2025

Recent data shows that while farm input prices are influenced by general inflation, they often diverge due to distinct supply and demand dynamics for each input. This article explores long-term trends from 1973–2024 and highlights how inputs like labor and machinery tend to track inflation more closely than others like feed or fertilizer.

READ MORE

Farmer Sentiment Improves as Long-Term Optimism Outweighs Tariff Concerns

May 6, 2025

Farmer sentiment improved in April as producers expressed more optimism about current and future conditions on their farms. Purdue ag economists James Mintert and Michael Langemeier share their insight into the results of the April 2025 Ag Economy Barometer survey, conducted from April 14-21, in this episode of the Purdue Commercial AgCast.

READ MORE

Trends of Increasing Basis Continue Across the Eastern Corn Belt

April 17, 2025

Corn and soybean basis levels across the Eastern Corn Belt have strengthened for the second month in a row, with many locations now reporting a positive basis—especially at ethanol plants, soybean processors, and Ohio River terminals. Central Indiana and regional trends show basis levels outpacing historical averages, creating timely opportunities for improved grain marketing. Stay ahead of local trends with the Purdue Crop Basis Tool.

READ MORE

UPCOMING EVENTS

We are taking a short break, but please plan to join us at one of our future programs that is a little farther in the future.

2025 Indiana Farm Custom Rates

April 17, 2025

The rates reported in this publication were compiled from questionnaires received from farmers, farm owners, farm custom operators, and professional farm managers in Indiana during the last month of 2024 and the first three months of 2025. Respondents were asked to report custom rates they had either paid or received during the past year.

READ MORE

(Part 1) 2024 Indiana Farmland Values & Market Trends

September 11, 2024

Interested in the latest trends and insights on U.S. & Indiana farmland values? This AgCast episode shares insights from the Farm Sector Balance Sheet, USDA data collection methods, regional variations in land values, and the influences of factors such as interest rates and development pressures on farmland prices. Gain an in-depth understanding of trends, market dynamics, and future expectations for farmland values.

READ MORE

August 2024 PAER issue: Farmland Prices Increase Despite Downward Pressure

August 9, 2024

Indiana farmland prices have continued the trend of record highs in 2024, according to the latest Purdue Farmland Value and Cash Rent Survey. The average price of top-quality farmland reached $14,392 per acre, a 4.8% increase from June 2023. Average and poor-quality farmland also saw gains, with prices increasing 3.7% and 4.4% to $11,630 and $9,071 per acre, respectively.

READ MORE