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Déjà vu: Low Mississippi River Levels and Rising Barge Rates May Affect Grain Markets Again this Fall

Dry and hot conditions this year are again contributing to lower than normal river levels and, as a result, increasing barge rates. This is certainly something producers will want to pay attention to this fall.

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Conventional and Organic Enterprise Net Returns

Comparing crop yields, gross revenue, total expense, and net returns for conventional and organic alfalfa, corn, oats, soybeans, and winter wheat using FINBIN data.

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Forecasting New Crop Basis Bids for Fall 2023

We are now in the final weeks of the 2022-2023 crop marketing year, and after what has been a wild year for corn and soybean basis, basis bids for old crop corn and soybeans have largely settled and are in alignment with historical values for this time of year in most regions across the eastern Corn Belt.

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Comparing Corn and Soybean Marketing Strategies

This article identified the optimal portfolio of corn and soybean marketing strategies for a case farm in southeast Indiana. The hedge and roll strategy had the highest net return per acre, and the lowest level of downside risk of any of the individual marketing strategies. However, downside risk can be reduced by diversifying marketing strategies. In particular, combining the hedge and roll strategy with the marketing year cash price strategy was effective in reducing downside risk and resulted in only a slight decline in net return per acre.

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Comparing Corn Marketing Strategies

While there have been numerous studies or articles that have evaluated grain marketing and crop insurance strategies separately, there is limited previous literature that examines these tools simultaneously. The purpose of this study was to identify which strategies contributed to an optimal portfolio of corn marketing strategies for a case farm in southeast Indiana using a downside risk model.

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Corn Outlook Update Following USDA’s June WASDE Report

Purdue ag economists James Mintert and Nathanael Thompson discussed the updated corn outlook following USDA’s June World Ag Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report on the latest Purdue Commercial AgCast video podcast. The latest corn crop condition ratings were discussed along with implications for 2023 U.S. corn yield, production and carryover stocks.

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U.S. Corn Exports Struggle to Meet USDA’s Weak Export Forecast

Seasonally, U.S. corn exports tend to peak in the spring and weaken into the summer months. Although weekly corn export shipments have improved since late winter, they have not increased enough to offset weak exports last fall and especially during much of the winter.

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Purdue Farm Management Tour & Indiana Master Farmer Reception

Two outstanding farms in south-central Indiana will host visitors wanting to learn about farm and crop management on July 11th for the Purdue University Farm Management Tour. The Indiana Master Farmer reception and panel discussion will follow.

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April 2023 Crop Basis Update

April 13, 2023 crop basis update on forward contract bids, corn and soybean basis outlook, and new crop corn and soybean futures.

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Comparison of Conventional & Organic Crop Rotations (Spreadsheet Tool)

This spreadsheet compares conventional and organic rotations over a ten-year horizon. Specifically, net returns are compared for a conventional corn/soybean rotation, a conventional corn/soybean/wheat rotation, and an organic corn/soybean/wheat rotation.

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