1998-05 PAER

May 15, 1998

  • Food System 21: Gearing Up for the New Millennium – Part I
    • International Trade
    • Hog/Pork Sector
  • Economics of Variable Rate Planting by Yield Potential Zones
  • Manufacturing in the Indiana Economy
  • Indiana Farm Fence Law
  • The Asian Economic Crisis: Does It Matter to U.S. Agriculture?

Articles in this Publication:

Food System 21: Gearing Up for the New Millennium – Part I

Economics of Variable Rate Planting by Yield Potential Zones

Manufacturing in the Indiana Economy

Indiana Farm Fence Law

The Asian Economics Crisis: Does It Matter to U.S. Agriculture?

Latest Articles:

The March 2026 CPI Report: What It Tells Us About the Iran Conflict’s Inflation Footprint — And What Is Still Coming

April 13, 2026

The March 2026 CPI report confirms what the structural analysis predicted: the Iran Conflict’s initial consumer price impact is concentrated in motor fuels, which respond to crude oil prices with almost no lag. The 0.9 percent monthly CPI increase is large by recent standards — the largest monthly increase since mid-2022, but it is not yet the broad-based food and goods inflation that a prolonged Strait of Hormuz disruption will eventually produce.

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The Iran Conflict and Global Food Security: Why the Burden Falls Hardest on the World’s Most Vulnerable

March 31, 2026

When an energy shock ripples out from the Persian Gulf, the headlines focus on oil prices, gasoline costs, implications for value chains and the profit margins of U.S. producers.

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The Iran Conflict and Consumer Food Prices: A Broad but Lagged and Sticky Shock

March 31, 2026

The initial public reaction to an oil price shock reaching $110 per barrel is often to project near-immediate, dramatic increases in grocery prices. This instinct overstates the direct farm-to-retail transmission channel in a straightforward and measurable way. The USDA Economic Research Service tracks how each dollar of consumer food spending is distributed across the supply chain in its Food Dollar Series. The picture it reveals is sobering for those who expect large and rapid retail food price responses driven purely by higher farm input costs.

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