2021-04 PAER: Graduate Student Research Issue

April 20, 2021

Welcome to our first full PAER issue of 2021! We look forward to aggregating the great work from the Ag Econ Department this year and helping to bring it to the PAER readership. A key mission of PAER is to represent the breadth of research in our Department and make it accessible to our readership. We hope that a reader surveying our list of articles comes away with a sense of how robust the department’s research profile is – spanning discussion of Indiana’s farmland prices to major international policy debates-.

The editors, in pursuit of the PAER mission, opted to make the April issue themed “Graduate Student Research.” The Purdue Ag Econ graduate students are a key element in research productivity and intellectual drive. We are proud to be training and collaborating with these beginning researchers that will set the standard for discovery in their disciplines for the next generation. Moreover, calling on this group for PAER submissions provides a great lens for readers around the Indiana and the Midwest to view a snapshot of the graduate students-led intellectual life of our Department.

Our April issue collects six articles that nicely represent the research output of our graduate students. To highlight the ownership and creativity of our graduate student body, the articles presented in this publication were led by a graduate student who in collaboration with Purdue faculty, and in one case an alumnus of our Department, was able to develop a relevant idea into a relevant research article.

We lead the April issue with two articles that examine supply (Morissette, Lusk, and Bourquard) and price (Mefford and Mallory) relationships in agriculture and how the economic stressors of COVID are being revealed in these markets. Following the two COVID related articles, we feature a piece that examines how experts form expectations about farmland markets (Fiechter, Brewer, and Kuethe).

The second half of the issue begins with a graduate student contemplating the rote assumptions we tend to make about short run decision-making in agricultural supply (Ortez). This is followed by a study of opinions and willingness to pay for averting a key emerging pollution threat (Moon and Wang). We also feature a case study essay prepared by three graduate students (Ortez, Nguyen, and Neuhofer) that explores productivity and market access for small sugar cane farmers. Finally, we close the issue with an article that summarizes the graduate student research award winners from the Department in 2020 in our three programs (Dr. Travis Atkinson, PhD program; Natalie Loduca, MS program; Cain Thurmond, MS-MBA program).

These last four items in the April issue give insight into the different ways our graduate students engage the research frontier and advance it – developing ideas that are first formed in the classroom, further nurtured with the help of our faculty and finally working together to successfully bring them to completion. Here at Purdue Agricultural Economics Department, we are very excited and very much looking forward to the national and international competitions where these studies will compete.

Faculty editor – Dr. Roman Keeney

Graduate student editor – Mario Ortez

Articles in this Publication:

COVID-19 Disruptions to Indiana Food Supply Chain

All Correlations Go to 1 in a Crisis: The Cattle Crush Spread during COVID-19 Crisis

Farmland Market Experts Do Not Want to Over-Predict Farmland Price Growth

A Gentle Critique of Agricultural Supply Theory

Is the public willing to pay to curb microplastic pollution?

Sustainability, productivity, and market access of smallholder sugarcane farmers: The Case of Central America

Award Winning Graduate Student Research at Purdue Ag Econ

Latest Articles:

The August 2026 CPI and PPI Reports: The Late-July Energy Spike Arrives, and the Food Pipeline Still Holds

September 16, 2026

Energy costs surged across both reports this month — diesel fuel up 24.1 percent, gasoline up 3.9 percent — in a single month. At the same time, food inflation sat almost exactly where it sat in July, and the most upstream producer-price stage swung through a wider range than the stage nearest the consumer has moved in three months combined. A real, measurable energy shock landing squarely in the data, alongside a food pipeline that barely moved, is the sharpest evidence yet for the thesis this series has been building since spring.

The August 2026 Beef Import Waiver: A Narrow Tool Aimed at a Narrow Problem

August 25, 2026

This is a targeted policy aimed at a narrow slice of the beef market — imported product for ground beef, much of which is lean processing beef — rather than a broad intervention in the fed-cattle market. It was announced in response to historically tight cattle supplies and unusually high beef prices. Within that narrow lane, the most plausible effect is some additional availability of lower-cost processing beef and some downward pressure on ground-beef prices.

The July 2026 CPI and PPI Reports: The Energy Shock Bypasses the Food Pipeline

August 20, 2026

Energy prices are 14.7 percent above year-ago levels, and yet the raw agricultural commodities that sit at the head of the food pipeline are cheaper than they were last July. That combination is the whole story of this month’s release — but it is not evidence that the energy shock missed agriculture.