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The Financial Downturn: Back to the Future (Reversion to the Mean)

Mike Boehlje presents his Distinguished Professor Seminar on the Purdue campus. Mike discusses the downturn in the U.S. agriculture sector, applied research he has conducted with Purdue colleagues related to this topic and programming provided by Purdue.

Pork Industry Faces Tight Margin Year

Pork producers in 2016 are expected to experience another year of tight margins similar to the year just completed. Pork production is expected to rise by about one percent, but beef production will rise by four percent and poultry by about three percent.

Crop Margins in a Boom-Moderation Price Cycle

A glance at a chart of commodity prices over say 100 or more years reveals periods of surging prices followed by a period of moderation in prices. Once prices moderate, they may stay relatively low for an extended time. Some have observed that this total cycle may be around 30 years, with the boom-moderation phase lasting 12 to 15 years.

Long-Term Cash Rent Decisions Using A Cash Rent Decision Tool

Recorded December 18, 2015 | A demonstration of use of a cash rent spreadsheet tool to calculate breakeven cash rents, compare the breakeven cash rent to local market rents, compute the market rate premium (if any) above the breakeven rate and the impact paying premiums could have on a farm’s liquidity over the course of the next five years.

International Benchmarks for Soybean Production (2015)

This paper examines the competitiveness of soybean production for important international soybean regions using 2012 to 2014 data from the agribenchmark network. This network collects data on beef, cash crops, dairy, pigs and poultry, horticulture, and organic products for 32 countries.

Capturing the Upside & Buffering the Downside

Recorded November 30, 2015 | Key management strategies farmers can use to successfully manage their farms during the economic downturn in agriculture.

Hog Prices Drop to 6 Year Lows

Live hog prices fell below $40 per hundredweight last week. This means hog prices are at their lowest level since November of 2009 when the U.S. was just beginning to pull off the bottom of the great recession.

International Benchmarks for Corn Production (2015)

This paper examines the competitiveness of corn production for important international corn regions using 2012 to 2014 data from the agribenchmark network. This network collects data on beef, cash crops, dairy, pigs and poultry, horticulture, and organic products for 32 countries.

Long-Term Outlook for U.S. Ag. Economy

Recorded October 30, 2015 | Discussion focuses on the macroeconomic outlook and expected impacts on exchange rates and interest rates, a review of factors driving change in the crop sector including shifts in supplies taking place, and a review of expected returns for corn and soybeans and prospects for farmland prices in the the Midwest.

Beef: High Prices Cure High Prices

The adage that the cure for high prices is “High Prices” is evident this year in beef markets. Finished cattle prices reached record highs around $170 in late 2014 and early spring of 2015.

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