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Crops

Corn and Soybean Basis Stabilizes After Seasonal Post-Harvest Rise

Corn and soybean basis have strengthened post-harvest in the Eastern Corn Belt, particularly in Indiana and Ohio, while Iowa lags behind. As winter sets in, historical patterns suggest basis levels will stabilize — but regional deviations highlight the importance of local tracking.

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U.S.–China Soybean Deal: Comparing Past Export Levels and Global Market Impacts

Despite the headline deal between the U.S. and China on soybeans, the numbers show a different story. The 12 million-ton commitment for 2025 remains below recent norms, while Brazil and Argentina surged ahead in China’s market. For producers focused on scale, margins, and global competition, the implications are clear: tariff concerns remain, diversification matters, and South America is an emerging force.

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Crop Net Return Prospects, Presentation in White County

Michael Langemeier presented in White County (Reynolds), Indiana on November 12, 2025, on crop net returns prospects.

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Using the Long-Run Cash Rent Spreadsheet: When to Hold Them or Fold Them?

Farmers typically find that rental rates don’t adjust rapidly during a downturn and consequently they lose money on rented land. But most farmers don’t want to give up rented land even if it is not profitable because it is difficult to find another parcel to replace it. They continue to hold on to rented land waiting for better prices, lower costs, and/or higher yields. The fundamental question is how long can they delay the decision. In other words, when should they hold them and when should they fold them? This question has become even more relevant today, given the financial pressure currently faced by crop producers across the Corn Belt, including lower commodity prices, tighter margins, and higher interest rates.

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Cover Crop Adoption: Results from 5 Years of Ag Economy Barometer Surveys

When thinking about the adoption of conservation practices, like cover crops, it is important to note two things. First, adoption rates have ebbs and flows; in other words, adoption does not necessarily follow a steady trend. Second, sometimes conservation practices

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Brazil Begins Planting with Expected Record Acreage Driven by High Demand but Low Margins

Farmers across Brazil have begun planting the 2025/26 crop season, with expectations for another record in corn and soybean acreage. The first outlook for the new cycle, released by the National Supply Company (Conab), Brazil’s food supply and statistics agency,

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Corn & Soybean Basis Outpace Historical Averages across the Eastern Corn Belt

As corn and soybean harvest progress across the country, recent basis movements have pushed nearby basis levels above their historical averages in much of the Eastern Corn Belt. Typically, basis weakens through harvest, with nearby basis levels often bottoming out between mid-October and November. This marketing year, however, corn and soybean basis began below the two- and three-year averages, respectively, and recent movement has flipped the relationship in many USDA crop reporting districts.

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Crop vs. Livestock Sentiment: Perspectives from the Ag Economy Barometer

Given the large difference in prices received and projected net return prospects, it is not surprising to find a large difference in producer sentiment between crop and livestock producers in the August 2025 Ag Economy Barometer survey. In addition to differences in producer sentiment, larger percentages of crop producers expected to have larger operating loans in 2026, listed unpaid operator debt from the prior year as a reason for those larger loans, and were financially stressed.

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Irrigated, Pasture & Hay Cash Rent Considerations

Jim Jansen from the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, joins Michael Langemeier on this episode of the Purdue Commercial AgCast to discuss cash rent considerations for irrigation, pasture, and hay leases. They provide factors affecting cash rent including maintenance costs, insurance, and land productivity and emphasize the importance of clear lease agreements. Offering practical advice for both landlords and operators on fair rental agreements.

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U.S. Soybean Harvest Starts with No Sign of Chinese Buying as Brazil Sets Export Record

The U.S. soybean harvest began in September without any orders from the world’s largest buyer: China. American producers are harvesting a crop the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) estimates at 4.3 billion bushels, and there is no indication of when shipments to China will resume. In a typical year, China buys more than half of all U.S. soybean exports. Meanwhile, Brazil set a record for shipments to China from January through August 2025. In this article, we present U.S. and Brazilian soybean trade flows to China during the last two years, analyze the trade relationship between these countries dating back to before the first round of the 2018 trade war, and consider the possible consequences if a trade deal is not reached this fall.

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