Farmer Sentiment Sours as Crop Prices Decline

June 6, 2023

Purdue ag economists James Mintert and Michael Langemeier share some insight into the results of the May 2023 Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer survey. Producer sentiment fell to its weakest reading since July 2022, as the Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer Index declined 19 points to a reading of 104 in May. This month’s survey was conducted from May 15-19, 2023.

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Corn Basis Implications from July-September Futures and Weather Conditions

June 1, 2023

Corn and soybean basis has been relatively steady in recent weeks in most regions of the eastern Corn Belt. Attention now shifts to the July-September corn futures price spread, which has a strong inversion—September trading for $0.73/bu. less than July. How will this impact basis patterns for the remainder of the summer?

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Contingency Planning with Cash Flow Shortages

June 1, 2023

Contingency plans related to how to respond to changes in projected cash flows are also important. Given the expected drop in crop prices this fall, it would be prudent for a farm to examine the sensitivity of their cash flow and repayment capacity to changes in crop prices.

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Impact of Lower Corn Prices on Swine Feed Costs

May 22, 2023

Indiana corn prices during the first quarter of this year were on average approximately $6.60 per bushel. The most recent WASDE report indicates that corn prices could be substantially lower for the upcoming crop.

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New and Improved Crop Basis Tool

May 17, 2023

It is hard for me to believe, but the Purdue Center for Commercial Agriculture Crop Basis Tool has been around for more than five years. Since then, the Tool has served as a valuable source of current and historical corn and soybean basis information for producers and grain industry participants.

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What Does the Federal Fund Rate Increases at May FOMC Meeting Mean?

May 15, 2023

During the May 3rd Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the FOMC voting members raised the Federal Funds Rate by another 25 basis points; making the target Federal Funds Rate between 5% and 5.25%. This Federal Reserve has consistently increased the Federal Funds Rate during each FOMC meeting for over a year.

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Why is Managing Strategic Risk So Important in Production Agriculture?

May 11, 2023

Strategic risk is difficult to quantify.  Despite this fact, it is important to prepare risks impacting U.S. farms and build resilience.

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U.S. Corn Exports Struggle to Meet USDA’s Weak Export Forecast

May 8, 2023

Seasonally, U.S. corn exports tend to peak in the spring and weaken into the summer months. Although weekly corn export shipments have improved since late winter, they have not increased enough to offset weak exports last fall and especially during much of the winter.

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Producer Sentiment and Farm Growth

May 4, 2023

There are numerous reasons why a farm may want to expand including the following: reduce costs, improve profit margins, improve…

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Farmer sentiment improves; less pessimism over interest rates

May 2, 2023

Purdue ag economists James Mintert and Michael Langemeier share some insight into the results of the April 2023 Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer survey. Farmer sentiment improved modestly in April as the Ag Economy Barometer reversed a two-month decline up 6 points to a reading of 123. This month’s survey was conducted from April 10-14, 2023.

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Purdue Crop Cost and Return Guide
2023 Farm Custom Rates for Indiana
Crop Insurance 2023 Decision text with James Mintert and Michael Langemeier's photos in front of a corn field at sunset used as thumbnail image for video of Purdue Commercial AgCast podcast episode
Comparing Net Returns for Alternative Leasing Arrangements
Indiana Farmland Prices Grow at Record Pace in 2022, Purdue Land Values and Cash Rents Survey

Purdue Farm Management Tour & Indiana Master Farmer Reception

Two outstanding farms in south-central Indiana will host visitors wanting to learn about farm and crop management on July 11th for the Purdue University Farm Management Tour. The Indiana Master Farmer reception and panel discussion will follow.

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