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basis

Crop Basis Review 2024–2025 and Early Indicators for 2025–2026

For much of the 2024-2025 marketing year, the basis for both corn and soybeans looked much different than their historical averages. Both crops started well below what previous trends would suggest.

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Corn & Soybean Basis Weakens as Focus Shifts to New Crop

On Tuesday, the August WASDE report was released, which significantly increased the projected 25/26 corn supply and decreased the soybean supply. There were immediate effects in the futures market. September and December corn futures dropped by $0.13/bu, and September and November soybean futures increased by $0.21/bu. As we approach harvest, it is yet to be seen how this will affect the new crop basis.

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Soybean Basis Recovers from Sharp Decreases in June

At the time of our last basis update in the second week of June, the regional soybean basis was highly volatile. This volatility was driven by sharp decreases in basis at soybean processors in Ohio, Illinois, and Indiana. As June continued, the sharp decrease in soybean basis continued and spread across the entire Eastern Corn Belt. However, as we have progressed through July, much of the basis decrease has been recovered.

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Corn Basis Continues to Improve as Soybean Basis Varies

As July futures near expiration, corn basis across the Eastern Corn Belt continues to strengthen. In Central Ohio, the basis has improved by $0.12/bu over the past three weeks to $0.26/bu, reaching a ten-year high for the second week of June.

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Corn and Soybean Basis Go Positive as Strengthening Continues

The corn and soybean basis across the Eastern Corn Belt have strengthened for three straight months. As a result of the increasing trend, multiple cash bids across the region are now higher than the July futures price (i.e., basis to July futures is positive). The consistent strengthening has also led to many local basis levels reaching their highest mark of the 2024 – 2025 marketing year.

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Trends of Increasing Basis Continue Across the Eastern Corn Belt

Corn and soybean basis levels across the Eastern Corn Belt have strengthened for the second month in a row, with many locations now reporting a positive basis—especially at ethanol plants, soybean processors, and Ohio River terminals. Central Indiana and regional trends show basis levels outpacing historical averages, creating timely opportunities for improved grain marketing. Stay ahead of local trends with the Purdue Crop Basis Tool.

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Corn and Soybean Basis Strengthen Across the Midwest Amidst Decreasing Prices

Between February 12th and March 12th, the markets for corn and soybeans significantly changed. As market prices have dropped, corn and soybean basis across the Midwest have strengthened. The basis strengthening is a welcomed change following over 2 months of weakening or unchanging basis. The falling market prices have decreased the value of uncontracted stored grain. Stored grain hedged through futures markets has increased in value over the last month as the basis has strengthened.

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February Indiana Crop Basis Update & Using the Crop Basis Tool to Plan Storage Hedges

Since the beginning of December, corn and soybean basis across Indiana have generally been stable. Over the 10 weeks, most basis levels stayed within a $0.10/bu. range.

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Indiana crop basis to nearby contracts are stable through the first half of January

Through the first three weeks of January, corn and soybean basis have been stable or weakened slightly. This is a continuation of the stabilization and slight weakening that started in December and follows statewide strengthening throughout November. Before November, the 2024-2025 crop basis levels were well below the three-year average.

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Indiana basis strengthening slows to end 2024

It has been six weeks since the November Crop Basis Update was released. In that window, harvest has wrapped up across Indiana, and corn and soybean basis levels have been relatively stable compared to September and October. In all parts of the state, crop basis levels were higher on December 18th than they were on November 6th. This includes basis levels for Ohio River delivery points, ethanol plants, and soybean processors.

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