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Farmer Sentiment Weakens as Producer Confidence in Future Wanes

Farmer sentiment dipped again in August as the Purdue University/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer Index fell 10 points to 125. Producers were markedly less optimistic about the future in August as the Index of Future Expectations dropped 16 points to 123. This was the lowest reading for the future index since last September. Purdue ag economists James Mintert and Michael Langemeier share insights into the results of the August 2025 survey, conducted from August 11-15, in this episode of the Purdue Commercial AgCast.

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Crop Net Return Prospects, Presentation at Pinney Purdue Field Day

Michael Langemeier presented at the Pinney Purdue Field Day in Wanatah, Indiana on August 20, 2025, on crop net returns and the farmland market.

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Farmland Prices Increase Despite Downward Pressure, Purdue Ag Econ Report August 2025

Indiana farmland prices have continued the trend of record highs in 2025, according to the latest Purdue Farmland Value and Cash Rents Survey results. The average price of top-quality farmland reached $14,826 per acre, a 3.0% increase from June 2024. Statewide, cash rents increased from 1.5 to 1.7% for poor-, average-, and top-quality land.

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Future of Ag Tech: A Conversation with Brant Caley

Brant Caley, an expert in ag tech, discusses his journey, from playing FFA basketball to working with companies like Trimble, Farmers Business Network (FBN), and now Gradable on this episode of the Purdue Commercial AgCast. The discussion covers the evolution of farm technology, sustainability in grain marketing, the future of agricultural technology – and the potential impact of emerging technologies like AI and LLMs.

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Corn & Soybean Basis Weakens as Focus Shifts to New Crop

On Tuesday, the August WASDE report was released, which significantly increased the projected 25/26 corn supply and decreased the soybean supply. There were immediate effects in the futures market. September and December corn futures dropped by $0.13/bu, and September and November soybean futures increased by $0.21/bu. As we approach harvest, it is yet to be seen how this will affect the new crop basis.

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Long-Run Cash Rent Spreadsheet Tool

Examine breakeven prices, earnings per acre, breakeven cash rents, and trends in working capital with this spreadsheet tool.

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Flex Lease Computations Spreadsheet Tool

Need help setting a fair flexible lease agreement? This easy-to-use spreadsheet lets you plug in your own numbers—like crop budget line items, yields, and prices—to calculate lease rates and earnings per acre. Whether you’re negotiating a new agreement or comparing alternative, this tool helps take the guesswork out.

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Flexible Cash Lease Parameters

Explore how different lease types—from crop share to flexible cash leases—impact risk and returns for both landowners and tenants. This analysis uses real Indiana data to compare a fixed cash rent lease, a crop share lease, and eight flexible cash lease arrangements, helping you evaluate which structure fits your farm’s goals. Flex leases with base rent and bonuses are gaining traction—see why they may be a smart alternative to fixed cash rent.

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Comparing Net Returns for Alternative Leasing Arrangements

Leases on agricultural land are strongly influenced by local custom and tradition. Compare net returns to land derived from crop share, fixed cash rent, and flexible cash lease arrangements.

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Flexible Cash Lease Comparisons

Compare crop share and flexible cash lease agreements from a landowners perspective for almost 20 years (2007–2025). See bonus payment trends for flexible leases, year-by-year comparisons of net return, and which lease offers more protection in volatile years.

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